Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, reflecting his strong local councillor profile and appeal on housing, cost-of-living, and rural issues amid fragmented first-preference support. A May 7 Ipsos B&A/TG4/Irish Times opinion poll (sample 530) showed Fine Gael Senator Seán Kyne edging Thomas 17%-16%, with Labour's Helen Ogbu third at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but traders anticipate Thomas benefiting more from transfers in PR-STV counting, especially as government parties (Fine Gael/Fianna Fáil) trail at 25% combined versus 39% left bloc. Today's RTÉ Radio 1 debate and final canvassing could tip the closely contested race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGalway-West By-Election Winner?
Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Noel Thomas 45%
Seán Kyne 32.6%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 10.4%
Helen Ogbu 6.8%
$43,965 ปริมาณ
$43,965 ปริมาณ
Mar 31, 2027
Sheila Garrity
1%
Seán Kyne
33%
Niall Murphy
<1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
10%
Orla Nugent
<1%
Helen Ogbu
7%
Denman Rooke
<1%
Noel Thomas
45%
Thomas Welby
<1%
Mike Cubbard
5%
Mark Lohan
5%
Noel Thomas 45%
Seán Kyne 32.6%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 10.4%
Helen Ogbu 6.8%
$43,965 ปริมาณ
$43,965 ปริมาณ
Mar 31, 2027
Sheila Garrity
$20,198 ปริมาณ
1%
Seán Kyne
$3,253 ปริมาณ
33%
Niall Murphy
$1,792 ปริมาณ
<1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
$1,589 ปริมาณ
10%
Orla Nugent
$1,592 ปริมาณ
<1%
Helen Ogbu
$2,875 ปริมาณ
7%
Denman Rooke
$1,564 ปริมาณ
<1%
Noel Thomas
$4,982 ปริมาณ
45%
Thomas Welby
$1,609 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mike Cubbard
$2,051 ปริมาณ
5%
Mark Lohan
$2,461 ปริมาณ
5%
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, reflecting his strong local councillor profile and appeal on housing, cost-of-living, and rural issues amid fragmented first-preference support. A May 7 Ipsos B&A/TG4/Irish Times opinion poll (sample 530) showed Fine Gael Senator Seán Kyne edging Thomas 17%-16%, with Labour's Helen Ogbu third at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but traders anticipate Thomas benefiting more from transfers in PR-STV counting, especially as government parties (Fine Gael/Fianna Fáil) trail at 25% combined versus 39% left bloc. Today's RTÉ Radio 1 debate and final canvassing could tip the closely contested race.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,965วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, reflecting his strong local councillor profile and appeal on housing, cost-of-living, and rural issues amid fragmented first-preference support. A May 7 Ipsos B&A/TG4/Irish Times opinion poll (sample 530) showed Fine Gael Senator Seán Kyne edging Thomas 17%-16%, with Labour's Helen Ogbu third at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but traders anticipate Thomas benefiting more from transfers in PR-STV counting, especially as government parties (Fine Gael/Fianna Fáil) trail at 25% combined versus 39% left bloc. Today's RTÉ Radio 1 debate and final canvassing could tip the closely contested race.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,965วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, reflecting his strong local councillor profile and appeal on housing, cost-of-living, and rural issues amid fragmented first-preference support. A May 7 Ipsos B&A/TG4/Irish Times opinion poll (sample 530) showed Fine Gael Senator Seán Kyne edging Thomas 17%-16%, with Labour's Helen Ogbu third at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but traders anticipate Thomas benefiting more from transfers in PR-STV counting, especially as government parties (Fine Gael/Fianna Fáil) trail at 25% combined versus 39% left bloc. Today's RTÉ Radio 1 debate and final canvassing could tip the closely contested race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย