Strong meteorological consensus from multiple forecast models supports the near-certain market-implied probability (99.5%) of a high at or above 26°C in Jinan on August 22. Late-summer atmospheric conditions over Shandong province typically sustain daytime maxima of 32–34°C, consistent with current projections of 33–34°C from sources including AccuWeather and regional models. No significant frontal systems or cooling advection appear in the near-term guidance, aligning with historical August baselines where highs rarely fall below 30°C. Traders are pricing in this established seasonal pattern and short-term model agreement. An unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable within the final 24-hour window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jinan on August 22?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 22?
26°C or higher 99.6%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
16°C or below
$295 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$295 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$295 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$295 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$295 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,500 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,000 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$992 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,030 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$720 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,207 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong meteorological consensus from multiple forecast models supports the near-certain market-implied probability (99.5%) of a high at or above 26°C in Jinan on August 22. Late-summer atmospheric conditions over Shandong province typically sustain daytime maxima of 32–34°C, consistent with current projections of 33–34°C from sources including AccuWeather and regional models. No significant frontal systems or cooling advection appear in the near-term guidance, aligning with historical August baselines where highs rarely fall below 30°C. Traders are pricing in this established seasonal pattern and short-term model agreement. An unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable within the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,924วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong meteorological consensus from multiple forecast models supports the near-certain market-implied probability (99.5%) of a high at or above 26°C in Jinan on August 22. Late-summer atmospheric conditions over Shandong province typically sustain daytime maxima of 32–34°C, consistent with current projections of 33–34°C from sources including AccuWeather and regional models. No significant frontal systems or cooling advection appear in the near-term guidance, aligning with historical August baselines where highs rarely fall below 30°C. Traders are pricing in this established seasonal pattern and short-term model agreement. An unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable within the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,924วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong meteorological consensus from multiple forecast models supports the near-certain market-implied probability (99.5%) of a high at or above 26°C in Jinan on August 22. Late-summer atmospheric conditions over Shandong province typically sustain daytime maxima of 32–34°C, consistent with current projections of 33–34°C from sources including AccuWeather and regional models. No significant frontal systems or cooling advection appear in the near-term guidance, aligning with historical August baselines where highs rarely fall below 30°C. Traders are pricing in this established seasonal pattern and short-term model agreement. An unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable within the final 24-hour window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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