Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system, positioning 15 °C as the market-implied favorite with the highest trader consensus. This synoptic pattern favors modest daytime highs and scattered showers typical of mid-May climatology, where London’s long-term average peaks around 16–17 °C but current steering flow and cloud cover suppress warming. Updated model runs show tight agreement on this range, limiting upside potential for 17 °C or higher while keeping lower outcomes like 14 °C viable if showers intensify. Traders are closely monitoring the next Met Office update for any shifts in the pressure gradient ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on May 18?
Highest temperature in London on May 18?
15°C 44%
16°C 25%
14°C 23%
17°C 6.5%
ใหม่
$44,581 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$44,581 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
23%
15°C
44%
16°C
25%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 44%
16°C 25%
14°C 23%
17°C 6.5%
ใหม่
$44,581 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$44,581 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$1,891 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$6,300 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$1,833 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$1,698 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$3,253 ปริมาณ
2%
13°C
$4,895 ปริมาณ
4%
14°C
$3,768 ปริมาณ
23%
15°C
$4,153 ปริมาณ
44%
16°C
$5,385 ปริมาณ
25%
17°C
$4,415 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C or higher
$7,131 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system, positioning 15 °C as the market-implied favorite with the highest trader consensus. This synoptic pattern favors modest daytime highs and scattered showers typical of mid-May climatology, where London’s long-term average peaks around 16–17 °C but current steering flow and cloud cover suppress warming. Updated model runs show tight agreement on this range, limiting upside potential for 17 °C or higher while keeping lower outcomes like 14 °C viable if showers intensify. Traders are closely monitoring the next Met Office update for any shifts in the pressure gradient ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,581วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system, positioning 15 °C as the market-implied favorite with the highest trader consensus. This synoptic pattern favors modest daytime highs and scattered showers typical of mid-May climatology, where London’s long-term average peaks around 16–17 °C but current steering flow and cloud cover suppress warming. Updated model runs show tight agreement on this range, limiting upside potential for 17 °C or higher while keeping lower outcomes like 14 °C viable if showers intensify. Traders are closely monitoring the next Met Office update for any shifts in the pressure gradient ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,581วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system, positioning 15 °C as the market-implied favorite with the highest trader consensus. This synoptic pattern favors modest daytime highs and scattered showers typical of mid-May climatology, where London’s long-term average peaks around 16–17 °C but current steering flow and cloud cover suppress warming. Updated model runs show tight agreement on this range, limiting upside potential for 17 °C or higher while keeping lower outcomes like 14 °C viable if showers intensify. Traders are closely monitoring the next Met Office update for any shifts in the pressure gradient ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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