Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 14, driven by confirmed observations from the resolving station at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG/PAC), where METAR reports logged peaks of 33°C during mid-afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Panama City's equatorial climate delivers reliable May highs averaging 30–32°C amid the wet season onset, with minimal day-to-day variability per historical airport data and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 33–34°C. Afternoon solar heating and low convective interference solidified this positioning; only an improbable official data revision could challenge it now, as the daily maximum window has passed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,941 ปริมาณ
$13,941 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,941 ปริมาณ
$13,941 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
22°C or below
$702 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$613 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$618 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$621 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$876 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$692 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$602 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$844 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$2,953 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$3,082 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$2,338 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 14, driven by confirmed observations from the resolving station at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG/PAC), where METAR reports logged peaks of 33°C during mid-afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Panama City's equatorial climate delivers reliable May highs averaging 30–32°C amid the wet season onset, with minimal day-to-day variability per historical airport data and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 33–34°C. Afternoon solar heating and low convective interference solidified this positioning; only an improbable official data revision could challenge it now, as the daily maximum window has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,941วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 14, driven by confirmed observations from the resolving station at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG/PAC), where METAR reports logged peaks of 33°C during mid-afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Panama City's equatorial climate delivers reliable May highs averaging 30–32°C amid the wet season onset, with minimal day-to-day variability per historical airport data and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 33–34°C. Afternoon solar heating and low convective interference solidified this positioning; only an improbable official data revision could challenge it now, as the daily maximum window has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,941วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 14, driven by confirmed observations from the resolving station at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG/PAC), where METAR reports logged peaks of 33°C during mid-afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Panama City's equatorial climate delivers reliable May highs averaging 30–32°C amid the wet season onset, with minimal day-to-day variability per historical airport data and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 33–34°C. Afternoon solar heating and low convective interference solidified this positioning; only an improbable official data revision could challenge it now, as the daily maximum window has passed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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