Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by forecast model agreement from services like AccuWeather and Weather Underground projecting afternoon peaks of 32–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northwest winds at 5–10 mph. This reflects typical early wet-season dynamics in Panama's equatorial location (9°N latitude), where intense solar insolation and high humidity (70–80%) enable rapid midday heating, building on yesterday's (May 13) observed high of 31°C from METAR reports. Scattered thunderstorms pose a minor risk of capping temperatures at 31°C (14% odds), but current guidance shows low precipitation probability (40–70%) before peak heating. Hourly airport observations through late afternoon will refine outcomes as the market nears resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
32°C or higher 88%
31°C 12%
30°C 2.3%
28°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 14, 2026
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
88%
32°C or higher 88%
31°C 12%
30°C 2.3%
28°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 14, 2026
27°C
$647 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$519 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$646 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,058 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$1,222 ปริมาณ
12%
32°C or higher
$1,413 ปริมาณ
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by forecast model agreement from services like AccuWeather and Weather Underground projecting afternoon peaks of 32–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northwest winds at 5–10 mph. This reflects typical early wet-season dynamics in Panama's equatorial location (9°N latitude), where intense solar insolation and high humidity (70–80%) enable rapid midday heating, building on yesterday's (May 13) observed high of 31°C from METAR reports. Scattered thunderstorms pose a minor risk of capping temperatures at 31°C (14% odds), but current guidance shows low precipitation probability (40–70%) before peak heating. Hourly airport observations through late afternoon will refine outcomes as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,829วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by forecast model agreement from services like AccuWeather and Weather Underground projecting afternoon peaks of 32–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northwest winds at 5–10 mph. This reflects typical early wet-season dynamics in Panama's equatorial location (9°N latitude), where intense solar insolation and high humidity (70–80%) enable rapid midday heating, building on yesterday's (May 13) observed high of 31°C from METAR reports. Scattered thunderstorms pose a minor risk of capping temperatures at 31°C (14% odds), but current guidance shows low precipitation probability (40–70%) before peak heating. Hourly airport observations through late afternoon will refine outcomes as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,829วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, driven by forecast model agreement from services like AccuWeather and Weather Underground projecting afternoon peaks of 32–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northwest winds at 5–10 mph. This reflects typical early wet-season dynamics in Panama's equatorial location (9°N latitude), where intense solar insolation and high humidity (70–80%) enable rapid midday heating, building on yesterday's (May 13) observed high of 31°C from METAR reports. Scattered thunderstorms pose a minor risk of capping temperatures at 31°C (14% odds), but current guidance shows low precipitation probability (40–70%) before peak heating. Hourly airport observations through late afternoon will refine outcomes as the market nears resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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