Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on July 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 16?
32°C 38%
31°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
26%
32°C
38%
33°C
23%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
29°C or below
$39 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$224 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$514 ปริมาณ
26%
32°C
$490 ปริมาณ
38%
33°C
$1,415 ปริมาณ
23%
34°C
$1,735 ปริมาณ
9%
35°C
$377 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C
$566 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$298 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$2,964 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$481 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,103วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,103วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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