**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 28°C in São Paulo on August 5, 2026, at 54% implied probability, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather model consensus and INMET guidance pointing to unseasonably warm conditions amid a broader early-August warming spell across central and southeastern Brazil. A persistent high-pressure system has promoted stable, mostly clear skies with limited cloud cover and light winds, enhancing daytime solar heating and limiting nocturnal cooling—key factors elevating maxima above the seasonal 23–25°C average. Recent developments include model runs showing a modest warm anomaly persisting into midweek, consistent with reports of a potential heat-wave episode early in the month. Dry-season climatology favors such spikes when subsidence suppresses convection, though any increase in boundary-layer moisture or passing disturbances could cap peaks closer to 27°C. Resolution hinges on official INMET station observations of the verified daily high, with traders monitoring updated model guidance and range conditions overnight for any final shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 5?
28°C 56%
27°C 20%
29°C 17%
26°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
56%
29°C
17%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 56%
27°C 20%
29°C 17%
26°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$369 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$519 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$219 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$474 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,412 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$498 ปริมาณ
20%
28°C
$787 ปริมาณ
56%
29°C
$505 ปริมาณ
17%
30°C
$303 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$303 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$242 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 28°C in São Paulo on August 5, 2026, at 54% implied probability, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather model consensus and INMET guidance pointing to unseasonably warm conditions amid a broader early-August warming spell across central and southeastern Brazil. A persistent high-pressure system has promoted stable, mostly clear skies with limited cloud cover and light winds, enhancing daytime solar heating and limiting nocturnal cooling—key factors elevating maxima above the seasonal 23–25°C average.
Recent developments include model runs showing a modest warm anomaly persisting into midweek, consistent with reports of a potential heat-wave episode early in the month. Dry-season climatology favors such spikes when subsidence suppresses convection, though any increase in boundary-layer moisture or passing disturbances could cap peaks closer to 27°C. Resolution hinges on official INMET station observations of the verified daily high, with traders monitoring updated model guidance and range conditions overnight for any final shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,622วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 28°C in São Paulo on August 5, 2026, at 54% implied probability, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather model consensus and INMET guidance pointing to unseasonably warm conditions amid a broader early-August warming spell across central and southeastern Brazil. A persistent high-pressure system has promoted stable, mostly clear skies with limited cloud cover and light winds, enhancing daytime solar heating and limiting nocturnal cooling—key factors elevating maxima above the seasonal 23–25°C average.
Recent developments include model runs showing a modest warm anomaly persisting into midweek, consistent with reports of a potential heat-wave episode early in the month. Dry-season climatology favors such spikes when subsidence suppresses convection, though any increase in boundary-layer moisture or passing disturbances could cap peaks closer to 27°C. Resolution hinges on official INMET station observations of the verified daily high, with traders monitoring updated model guidance and range conditions overnight for any final shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,622วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 28°C in São Paulo on August 5, 2026, at 54% implied probability, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather model consensus and INMET guidance pointing to unseasonably warm conditions amid a broader early-August warming spell across central and southeastern Brazil. A persistent high-pressure system has promoted stable, mostly clear skies with limited cloud cover and light winds, enhancing daytime solar heating and limiting nocturnal cooling—key factors elevating maxima above the seasonal 23–25°C average. Recent developments include model runs showing a modest warm anomaly persisting into midweek, consistent with reports of a potential heat-wave episode early in the month. Dry-season climatology favors such spikes when subsidence suppresses convection, though any increase in boundary-layer moisture or passing disturbances could cap peaks closer to 27°C. Resolution hinges on official INMET station observations of the verified daily high, with traders monitoring updated model guidance and range conditions overnight for any final shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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