Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 68.5% market-implied probability. Early September conditions feature persistent subtropical high pressure with limited cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing, supporting daytime heating near seasonal norms of 30–33°C. Sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide modest moderation, while any shift in upper-level ridging or moisture advection could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show tight clustering around 32°C, with lower odds for 33°C or 31°C tied to minor timing differences in diurnal peaks. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
32°C 70%
33°C 21%
31°C 6%
30°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
70%
33°C
21%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 70%
33°C 21%
31°C 6%
30°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
28°C or below
$85 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$310 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$165 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$69 ปริมาณ
6%
32°C
$1,034 ปริมาณ
70%
33°C
$892 ปริมาณ
21%
34°C
$132 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$221 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$418 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$403 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$297 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 68.5% market-implied probability. Early September conditions feature persistent subtropical high pressure with limited cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing, supporting daytime heating near seasonal norms of 30–33°C. Sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide modest moderation, while any shift in upper-level ridging or moisture advection could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show tight clustering around 32°C, with lower odds for 33°C or 31°C tied to minor timing differences in diurnal peaks. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,024วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 68.5% market-implied probability. Early September conditions feature persistent subtropical high pressure with limited cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing, supporting daytime heating near seasonal norms of 30–33°C. Sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide modest moderation, while any shift in upper-level ridging or moisture advection could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show tight clustering around 32°C, with lower odds for 33°C or 31°C tied to minor timing differences in diurnal peaks. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,024วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 as the most probable outcome, reflected in the 68.5% market-implied probability. Early September conditions feature persistent subtropical high pressure with limited cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing, supporting daytime heating near seasonal norms of 30–33°C. Sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide modest moderation, while any shift in upper-level ridging or moisture advection could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show tight clustering around 32°C, with lower odds for 33°C or 31°C tied to minor timing differences in diurnal peaks. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย