Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate that Warsaw’s maximum temperature on May 17 remained near 13 °C, consistent with a persistent cool northerly flow and limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight clustering around this value, with little support for warming above 14 °C. Historical May climatology for the city places average daily maxima near 18 °C, underscoring how the current pattern deviated from seasonal norms. Market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and modeling consensus, though minor revisions could occur if final station data reveal localized warming or instrument adjustments at the official recording site.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$54,323 ปริมาณ
$54,323 ปริมาณ
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$54,323 ปริมาณ
$54,323 ปริมาณ
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWARecent meteorological observations and forecast models from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate that Warsaw’s maximum temperature on May 17 remained near 13 °C, consistent with a persistent cool northerly flow and limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight clustering around this value, with little support for warming above 14 °C. Historical May climatology for the city places average daily maxima near 18 °C, underscoring how the current pattern deviated from seasonal norms. Market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and modeling consensus, though minor revisions could occur if final station data reveal localized warming or instrument adjustments at the official recording site.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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