Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 16?
36°C 42%
37°C 33%
35°C 18%
38°C 5.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
18%
36°C
42%
37°C
33%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 42%
37°C 33%
35°C 18%
38°C 5.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
31°C or below
$163 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$361 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$340 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$469 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$319 ปริมาณ
18%
36°C
$461 ปริมาณ
42%
37°C
$707 ปริมาณ
33%
38°C
$520 ปริมาณ
6%
39°C
$1,356 ปริมาณ
1%
40°C
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$366 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,354วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,354วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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