Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate a high near 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on September 7 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure that favors daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This positions 32°C or higher as the market leader at 62% implied probability, with 31°C at 25.5%, as recent observations show temperatures tracking slightly above seasonal normals for early September in the region. A cold front arrival on September 8 is expected to end the warm spell, but short-range guidance shows low variability in maximum temperature outcomes for the 7th. Traders appear to weigh the consensus across deterministic and ensemble runs, which currently cluster in the low-30s Celsius range with limited downside risk from moisture or stronger mixing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 7?
32°C or higher 39%
31°C 36%
30°C 19%
29°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
19%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
63%
32°C or higher 39%
31°C 36%
30°C 19%
29°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
19%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
63%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate a high near 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on September 7 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure that favors daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This positions 32°C or higher as the market leader at 62% implied probability, with 31°C at 25.5%, as recent observations show temperatures tracking slightly above seasonal normals for early September in the region. A cold front arrival on September 8 is expected to end the warm spell, but short-range guidance shows low variability in maximum temperature outcomes for the 7th. Traders appear to weigh the consensus across deterministic and ensemble runs, which currently cluster in the low-30s Celsius range with limited downside risk from moisture or stronger mixing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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