Recent Federal Reserve actions, including the September 15-16 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and hawkish Summary of Economic Projections, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.98% as of September 17, 2026, near multi-year highs. Elevated term premiums, resilient economic growth, sticky inflation readings, and fiscal supply pressures have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, supporting real yields and limiting downside moves. Market-implied odds reflect this repricing of the neutral rate amid geopolitical and inflation uncertainties. Key upcoming catalysts include the October FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and ongoing Treasury auctions, which could further shape trader consensus on the yield floor before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$272,670 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
Below 3.9%
5%
Below 3.8%
5%
Below 3.7%
3%
Below 3.6%
5%
Below 3.5%
2%
Below 3.0%
1%
Below 2.0%
2%
Below 1.0%
1%
$272,670 ปริมาณ
Below 3.9%
$51,205 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.8%
$56,905 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.7%
$34,850 ปริมาณ
3%
Below 3.6%
$6,185 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.5%
$42,971 ปริมาณ
2%
Below 3.0%
$7,535 ปริมาณ
1%
Below 2.0%
$564 ปริมาณ
2%
Below 1.0%
$40,696 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent Federal Reserve actions, including the September 15-16 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and hawkish Summary of Economic Projections, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.98% as of September 17, 2026, near multi-year highs. Elevated term premiums, resilient economic growth, sticky inflation readings, and fiscal supply pressures have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, supporting real yields and limiting downside moves. Market-implied odds reflect this repricing of the neutral rate amid geopolitical and inflation uncertainties. Key upcoming catalysts include the October FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and ongoing Treasury auctions, which could further shape trader consensus on the yield floor before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272,670วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent Federal Reserve actions, including the September 15-16 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and hawkish Summary of Economic Projections, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.98% as of September 17, 2026, near multi-year highs. Elevated term premiums, resilient economic growth, sticky inflation readings, and fiscal supply pressures have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, supporting real yields and limiting downside moves. Market-implied odds reflect this repricing of the neutral rate amid geopolitical and inflation uncertainties. Key upcoming catalysts include the October FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and ongoing Treasury auctions, which could further shape trader consensus on the yield floor before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272,670วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent Federal Reserve actions, including the September 15-16 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and hawkish Summary of Economic Projections, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.98% as of September 17, 2026, near multi-year highs. Elevated term premiums, resilient economic growth, sticky inflation readings, and fiscal supply pressures have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, supporting real yields and limiting downside moves. Market-implied odds reflect this repricing of the neutral rate amid geopolitical and inflation uncertainties. Key upcoming catalysts include the October FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and ongoing Treasury auctions, which could further shape trader consensus on the yield floor before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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