The 5-year Treasury yield stands near 4.54% as of early September 2026, elevated by a hawkish Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh and persistent inflation pressures amid higher oil prices from geopolitical tensions. Markets have shifted from pricing rate cuts toward possible hikes, with the effective federal funds rate around 3.63% and the term premium rising due to fiscal concerns over $40 trillion in U.S. debt plus heavy Treasury supply. Strong corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure has also competed for capital, supporting higher real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC decisions, CPI and PCE releases, and ongoing Treasury auctions, which could influence whether yields test lower levels or remain range-bound through 2026. Trader consensus in related markets reflects these supply, inflation, and policy dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
ใหม่
Dec 30, 2026
Below 4.50%
50%
Below 4.45%
50%
Below 4.40%
50%
Below 4.35%
50%
Below 4.30%
50%
Below 4.25%
50%
Below 4.20%
50%
Below 4.10%
50%
Below 4.00%
50%
$0.00 ปริมาณ
Below 4.50%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.45%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.40%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.35%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.30%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.25%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.20%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.10%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.00%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield stands near 4.54% as of early September 2026, elevated by a hawkish Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh and persistent inflation pressures amid higher oil prices from geopolitical tensions. Markets have shifted from pricing rate cuts toward possible hikes, with the effective federal funds rate around 3.63% and the term premium rising due to fiscal concerns over $40 trillion in U.S. debt plus heavy Treasury supply. Strong corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure has also competed for capital, supporting higher real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC decisions, CPI and PCE releases, and ongoing Treasury auctions, which could influence whether yields test lower levels or remain range-bound through 2026. Trader consensus in related markets reflects these supply, inflation, and policy dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield stands near 4.54% as of early September 2026, elevated by a hawkish Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh and persistent inflation pressures amid higher oil prices from geopolitical tensions. Markets have shifted from pricing rate cuts toward possible hikes, with the effective federal funds rate around 3.63% and the term premium rising due to fiscal concerns over $40 trillion in U.S. debt plus heavy Treasury supply. Strong corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure has also competed for capital, supporting higher real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC decisions, CPI and PCE releases, and ongoing Treasury auctions, which could influence whether yields test lower levels or remain range-bound through 2026. Trader consensus in related markets reflects these supply, inflation, and policy dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The 5-year Treasury yield stands near 4.54% as of early September 2026, elevated by a hawkish Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh and persistent inflation pressures amid higher oil prices from geopolitical tensions. Markets have shifted from pricing rate cuts toward possible hikes, with the effective federal funds rate around 3.63% and the term premium rising due to fiscal concerns over $40 trillion in U.S. debt plus heavy Treasury supply. Strong corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure has also competed for capital, supporting higher real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC decisions, CPI and PCE releases, and ongoing Treasury auctions, which could influence whether yields test lower levels or remain range-bound through 2026. Trader consensus in related markets reflects these supply, inflation, and policy dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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