Recent inflation data and Federal Reserve communications have anchored the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.63-4.70 percent in mid-August 2026 after a February low near 3.94 percent, with traders pricing in limited further declines before 2027. Sticky core inflation readings, elevated term premiums, and heavy Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits have offset earlier rate-cut expectations, while geopolitical tensions and resilient growth support higher yields. Market-implied odds reflect the Fed's current pause at the 3.50-3.75 percent funds rate target, with upcoming September FOMC decisions, CPI releases, and labor reports likely to determine whether yields test sub-4 percent levels or remain range-bound above 4 percent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$225,212 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3.9%
12%
3.8%
5%
3.7%
2%
3.6%
4%
3.5%
4%
3.0%
2%
2.0%
2%
1.0%
2%
$225,212 ปริมาณ
3.9%
$44,197 ปริมาณ
12%
3.8%
$41,312 ปริมาณ
5%
3.7%
$27,383 ปริมาณ
2%
3.6%
$5,587 ปริมาณ
4%
3.5%
$32,973 ปริมาณ
4%
3.0%
$917 ปริมาณ
2%
2.0%
$514 ปริมาณ
2%
1.0%
$40,570 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent inflation data and Federal Reserve communications have anchored the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.63-4.70 percent in mid-August 2026 after a February low near 3.94 percent, with traders pricing in limited further declines before 2027. Sticky core inflation readings, elevated term premiums, and heavy Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits have offset earlier rate-cut expectations, while geopolitical tensions and resilient growth support higher yields. Market-implied odds reflect the Fed's current pause at the 3.50-3.75 percent funds rate target, with upcoming September FOMC decisions, CPI releases, and labor reports likely to determine whether yields test sub-4 percent levels or remain range-bound above 4 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$225,212วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent inflation data and Federal Reserve communications have anchored the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.63-4.70 percent in mid-August 2026 after a February low near 3.94 percent, with traders pricing in limited further declines before 2027. Sticky core inflation readings, elevated term premiums, and heavy Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits have offset earlier rate-cut expectations, while geopolitical tensions and resilient growth support higher yields. Market-implied odds reflect the Fed's current pause at the 3.50-3.75 percent funds rate target, with upcoming September FOMC decisions, CPI releases, and labor reports likely to determine whether yields test sub-4 percent levels or remain range-bound above 4 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$225,212วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation data and Federal Reserve communications have anchored the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.63-4.70 percent in mid-August 2026 after a February low near 3.94 percent, with traders pricing in limited further declines before 2027. Sticky core inflation readings, elevated term premiums, and heavy Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits have offset earlier rate-cut expectations, while geopolitical tensions and resilient growth support higher yields. Market-implied odds reflect the Fed's current pause at the 3.50-3.75 percent funds rate target, with upcoming September FOMC decisions, CPI releases, and labor reports likely to determine whether yields test sub-4 percent levels or remain range-bound above 4 percent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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