Trader consensus prices 22–23 Republican governors post-2026 midterms at 33.5% and 24–25 at 29.5%, reflecting forecasts of modest GOP net losses from the current 26 Republican-held governorships amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party. With 36 seats up—including 18 currently Republican-held and 15 term-limited incumbents (9 Republicans)—key battlegrounds like open races in Michigan, Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, and California feature crowded fields and evenly matched nominees, keeping outcomes tight. Recent May developments, such as Vivek Ramaswamy's Ohio Republican primary win and additional retirements like Kim Reynolds in Iowa, create pickup paths but heighten risks in swing states; summer primaries and national economic trends could tip balances toward separation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว22–23 34%
24–25 30%
26–27 16%
น้อยกว่า 22 14%
$667,100 ปริมาณ
$667,100 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
น้อยกว่า 22
14%
22–23
34%
24–25
30%
26–27
16%
28–29
7%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 34%
24–25 30%
26–27 16%
น้อยกว่า 22 14%
$667,100 ปริมาณ
$667,100 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
น้อยกว่า 22
$45,042 ปริมาณ
14%
22–23
$5,780 ปริมาณ
34%
24–25
$30,016 ปริมาณ
30%
26–27
$14,009 ปริมาณ
16%
28–29
$553,755 ปริมาณ
7%
30–31
$5,551 ปริมาณ
1%
32+
$12,947 ปริมาณ
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices 22–23 Republican governors post-2026 midterms at 33.5% and 24–25 at 29.5%, reflecting forecasts of modest GOP net losses from the current 26 Republican-held governorships amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party. With 36 seats up—including 18 currently Republican-held and 15 term-limited incumbents (9 Republicans)—key battlegrounds like open races in Michigan, Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, and California feature crowded fields and evenly matched nominees, keeping outcomes tight. Recent May developments, such as Vivek Ramaswamy's Ohio Republican primary win and additional retirements like Kim Reynolds in Iowa, create pickup paths but heighten risks in swing states; summer primaries and national economic trends could tip balances toward separation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$667,100วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices 22–23 Republican governors post-2026 midterms at 33.5% and 24–25 at 29.5%, reflecting forecasts of modest GOP net losses from the current 26 Republican-held governorships amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party. With 36 seats up—including 18 currently Republican-held and 15 term-limited incumbents (9 Republicans)—key battlegrounds like open races in Michigan, Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, and California feature crowded fields and evenly matched nominees, keeping outcomes tight. Recent May developments, such as Vivek Ramaswamy's Ohio Republican primary win and additional retirements like Kim Reynolds in Iowa, create pickup paths but heighten risks in swing states; summer primaries and national economic trends could tip balances toward separation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$667,100วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices 22–23 Republican governors post-2026 midterms at 33.5% and 24–25 at 29.5%, reflecting forecasts of modest GOP net losses from the current 26 Republican-held governorships amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party. With 36 seats up—including 18 currently Republican-held and 15 term-limited incumbents (9 Republicans)—key battlegrounds like open races in Michigan, Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, and California feature crowded fields and evenly matched nominees, keeping outcomes tight. Recent May developments, such as Vivek Ramaswamy's Ohio Republican primary win and additional retirements like Kim Reynolds in Iowa, create pickup paths but heighten risks in swing states; summer primaries and national economic trends could tip balances toward separation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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