Recent polling trends show Democratic Party candidates holding double-digit leads in high-profile races such as Seoul and Busan, sustaining trader expectations that the party will capture between 11 and 14 of the 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats on June 3. Internal DP leadership adjustments, including replacements for several incumbent governors, have consolidated support in key provinces while the opposition People Power Party continues to face organizational challenges. Tight margins in several swing regions and uncertain turnout among independents keep the distribution of outcomes clustered, with any late shifts in voter sentiment or strong final-week campaigning likely to widen separation among the leading probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว13 31%
12 24%
14 16%
11 16.0%
≤10
10%
11
16%
12
24%
13
31%
14
16%
15
14%
≥16
1%
13 31%
12 24%
14 16%
11 16.0%
≤10
10%
11
16%
12
24%
13
31%
14
16%
15
14%
≥16
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends show Democratic Party candidates holding double-digit leads in high-profile races such as Seoul and Busan, sustaining trader expectations that the party will capture between 11 and 14 of the 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats on June 3. Internal DP leadership adjustments, including replacements for several incumbent governors, have consolidated support in key provinces while the opposition People Power Party continues to face organizational challenges. Tight margins in several swing regions and uncertain turnout among independents keep the distribution of outcomes clustered, with any late shifts in voter sentiment or strong final-week campaigning likely to widen separation among the leading probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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