Recent mid-August severe weather, including a derecho on August 11 that produced multiple confirmed tornadoes across northern Illinois and Indiana, has boosted early-month counts amid an already record-setting 2026 season with over 200 Illinois tornadoes year-to-date. Trader consensus clusters around 60–99 tornadoes, near the historical August average of 81, as the summertime jet stream favors northern states with sufficient instability, shear, and moisture for supercell development, though late-month tropical influences or pattern shifts could alter totals. Official Storm Prediction Center reports and National Weather Service surveys will refine preliminary numbers through month-end, with remaining forecast uncertainty hinging on evolving atmospheric ingredients.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
60-79 34%
80-99 34%
100–119 23%
40–59 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
<40
3%
40–59
9%
60-79
34%
80-99
34%
100–119
23%
120–139
2%
140-169
7%
170–199
2%
200+
8%
60-79 34%
80-99 34%
100–119 23%
40–59 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
<40
$258 ปริมาณ
3%
40–59
$152 ปริมาณ
9%
60-79
$236 ปริมาณ
34%
80-99
$244 ปริมาณ
34%
100–119
$167 ปริมาณ
23%
120–139
$52 ปริมาณ
2%
140-169
$209 ปริมาณ
7%
170–199
$157 ปริมาณ
2%
200+
$245 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Recent mid-August severe weather, including a derecho on August 11 that produced multiple confirmed tornadoes across northern Illinois and Indiana, has boosted early-month counts amid an already record-setting 2026 season with over 200 Illinois tornadoes year-to-date. Trader consensus clusters around 60–99 tornadoes, near the historical August average of 81, as the summertime jet stream favors northern states with sufficient instability, shear, and moisture for supercell development, though late-month tropical influences or pattern shifts could alter totals. Official Storm Prediction Center reports and National Weather Service surveys will refine preliminary numbers through month-end, with remaining forecast uncertainty hinging on evolving atmospheric ingredients.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,721วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Recent mid-August severe weather, including a derecho on August 11 that produced multiple confirmed tornadoes across northern Illinois and Indiana, has boosted early-month counts amid an already record-setting 2026 season with over 200 Illinois tornadoes year-to-date. Trader consensus clusters around 60–99 tornadoes, near the historical August average of 81, as the summertime jet stream favors northern states with sufficient instability, shear, and moisture for supercell development, though late-month tropical influences or pattern shifts could alter totals. Official Storm Prediction Center reports and National Weather Service surveys will refine preliminary numbers through month-end, with remaining forecast uncertainty hinging on evolving atmospheric ingredients.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,721วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent mid-August severe weather, including a derecho on August 11 that produced multiple confirmed tornadoes across northern Illinois and Indiana, has boosted early-month counts amid an already record-setting 2026 season with over 200 Illinois tornadoes year-to-date. Trader consensus clusters around 60–99 tornadoes, near the historical August average of 81, as the summertime jet stream favors northern states with sufficient instability, shear, and moisture for supercell development, though late-month tropical influences or pattern shifts could alter totals. Official Storm Prediction Center reports and National Weather Service surveys will refine preliminary numbers through month-end, with remaining forecast uncertainty hinging on evolving atmospheric ingredients.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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