Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a strong majority, while Republican Tom Hanson advanced from a low-turnout GOP contest. Illinois's 5th District carries a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, consistent with its Chicago-area base and historical voting patterns. All major rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural Democratic advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts. Only late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or significant national political realignment would realistically alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-05 House Election Winner
IL-05 House Election Winner
$25,272 ปริมาณ
$25,272 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$25,272 ปริมาณ
$25,272 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,976 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$16,296 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a strong majority, while Republican Tom Hanson advanced from a low-turnout GOP contest. Illinois's 5th District carries a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, consistent with its Chicago-area base and historical voting patterns. All major rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural Democratic advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts. Only late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or significant national political realignment would realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,272วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a strong majority, while Republican Tom Hanson advanced from a low-turnout GOP contest. Illinois's 5th District carries a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, consistent with its Chicago-area base and historical voting patterns. All major rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural Democratic advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts. Only late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or significant national political realignment would realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,272วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a strong majority, while Republican Tom Hanson advanced from a low-turnout GOP contest. Illinois's 5th District carries a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, consistent with its Chicago-area base and historical voting patterns. All major rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural Democratic advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts. Only late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or significant national political realignment would realistically alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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