Incumbent Darin LaHood’s unopposed Republican primary victory on March 17, 2026, combined with the district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage heading into the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces the structural barriers typical of an open-seat challenge in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins. No major late-cycle shifts in polling, fundraising, or endorsements have altered this positioning, leaving limited pathways for the underdog to close the gap before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$12,709 ปริมาณ
$12,709 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
10%
$12,709 ปริมาณ
$12,709 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,841 ปริมาณ
87%
Democratic Party
$8,868 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Darin LaHood’s unopposed Republican primary victory on March 17, 2026, combined with the district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage heading into the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces the structural barriers typical of an open-seat challenge in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins. No major late-cycle shifts in polling, fundraising, or endorsements have altered this positioning, leaving limited pathways for the underdog to close the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,709วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Darin LaHood’s unopposed Republican primary victory on March 17, 2026, combined with the district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage heading into the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces the structural barriers typical of an open-seat challenge in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins. No major late-cycle shifts in polling, fundraising, or endorsements have altered this positioning, leaving limited pathways for the underdog to close the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,709วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Darin LaHood’s unopposed Republican primary victory on March 17, 2026, combined with the district’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage heading into the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces the structural barriers typical of an open-seat challenge in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins. No major late-cycle shifts in polling, fundraising, or endorsements have altered this positioning, leaving limited pathways for the underdog to close the gap before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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