The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae holds a commanding lead in the Incheon mayoral race due to his status as the Democratic Party of Korea nominee, his three-term service as a National Assembly member from an Incheon district, and the party's organizational advantages heading into the June 3 local elections. He formally declared his candidacy in late April after securing nomination in March and opened his campaign office on May 16, emphasizing pledges for economic revival through biotechnology initiatives, higher average wages, and stronger coordination with central ministries. The main challenger, People Power Party candidate Yoo Jeong-bok seeking a third term, has focused criticism on transportation priorities and budget claims but trails significantly. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors while leaving limited room for shifts from unforeseen campaign developments or turnout changes in the final weeks.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Chan-dae holds a commanding lead in the Incheon mayoral race due to his status as the Democratic Party of Korea nominee, his three-term service as a National Assembly member from an Incheon district, and the party's organizational advantages heading into the June 3 local elections. He formally declared his candidacy in late April after securing nomination in March and opened his campaign office on May 16, emphasizing pledges for economic revival through biotechnology initiatives, higher average wages, and stronger coordination with central ministries. The main challenger, People Power Party candidate Yoo Jeong-bok seeking a third term, has focused criticism on transportation priorities and budget claims but trails significantly. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors while leaving limited room for shifts from unforeseen campaign developments or turnout changes in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
Yoo Jeong-bok's market price saw a brief, minor increase, potentially linked to late-stage campaign messaging or minor shifts in local political sentiment.
May 4 2026
Final pre-election polls confirm Park Chan-dae as overwhelming favorite for Incheon mayor
Park Chan-dae rises to 96%2%
Final polls released in early May 2026 confirmed Park Chan-dae as the overwhelming favorite to win the mayoral election, with market prices reaching 96%, reflecting near certainty of his victory.
Mar 19 2026
Park Chan-dae maintains strong lead amid rival candidates' campaign setbacks
Park Chan-dae rises to 95%2%
In March 2026, rival candidates faced campaign difficulties and negative press, while Park Chan-dae's campaign remained steady, resulting in a market price peak at 95%.
Mar 11 2026
Yoon Sang-hyun sees brief uptick in market interest
Yoon Sang-hyun rises to 3%2%
Yoon Sang-hyun experienced a minor, short-lived increase in market price, likely due to localized political speculation or campaign activity, before returning to near-zero levels.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to 23 years for rebellion over martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 87%8%
The conviction of Yoon's prime minister for rebellion related to the martial law crisis further weakened the conservative faction and enhanced Park Chan-dae's standing as the favored candidate in Incheon.
Feb 15 2026
Park Chan-dae consolidates lead as rivals drop to near zero
Park Chan-dae jumps to 92%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share reached 92%, effectively signaling his dominance in the race as other candidates like Yoo Jeong-bok and Park Nam-choon saw their support evaporate.
Jan 16 2026
Park Chan-dae reaches new peak in mayoral market
Park Chan-dae jumps to 88%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share continued to climb, reaching 88% as other candidates' prospects faded.
Jan 15 2026
Polls show Park Chan-dae leading with over 90% support in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae jumps to 90%11%
Mid-January 2026 polls indicated Park Chan-dae commanding over 90% support among likely voters, solidifying his frontrunner status and causing market prices to peak at 90%.
Jan 15 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief for supporting Yoon's martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 80%12%
The court's removal of the police chief for his role in the martial law episode reinforced the legitimacy of the new administration and further discredited Yoon's allies, consolidating support for Park Chan-dae in the mayoral race.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains momentum in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae surges to 63%17%
Following a period of volatility, Park Chan-dae's campaign saw a significant boost in support, reflected in a 17-point price increase in the market.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains significant campaign momentum after key endorsements
Park Chan-dae surges to 62%25%
Park Chan-dae received major endorsements from influential local political figures and organizations, boosting his perceived electability and causing a sharp increase in his market price from 37% to 62%. This event signaled growing establishment support, which was critical in consolidating voter confidence.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae holds a commanding lead in the Incheon mayoral race due to his status as the Democratic Party of Korea nominee, his three-term service as a National Assembly member from an Incheon district, and the party's organizational advantages heading into the June 3 local elections. He formally declared his candidacy in late April after securing nomination in March and opened his campaign office on May 16, emphasizing pledges for economic revival through biotechnology initiatives, higher average wages, and stronger coordination with central ministries. The main challenger, People Power Party candidate Yoo Jeong-bok seeking a third term, has focused criticism on transportation priorities and budget claims but trails significantly. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors while leaving limited room for shifts from unforeseen campaign developments or turnout changes in the final weeks.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Chan-dae holds a commanding lead in the Incheon mayoral race due to his status as the Democratic Party of Korea nominee, his three-term service as a National Assembly member from an Incheon district, and the party's organizational advantages heading into the June 3 local elections. He formally declared his candidacy in late April after securing nomination in March and opened his campaign office on May 16, emphasizing pledges for economic revival through biotechnology initiatives, higher average wages, and stronger coordination with central ministries. The main challenger, People Power Party candidate Yoo Jeong-bok seeking a third term, has focused criticism on transportation priorities and budget claims but trails significantly. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors while leaving limited room for shifts from unforeseen campaign developments or turnout changes in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
Yoo Jeong-bok's market price saw a brief, minor increase, potentially linked to late-stage campaign messaging or minor shifts in local political sentiment.
May 4 2026
Final pre-election polls confirm Park Chan-dae as overwhelming favorite for Incheon mayor
Park Chan-dae rises to 96%2%
Final polls released in early May 2026 confirmed Park Chan-dae as the overwhelming favorite to win the mayoral election, with market prices reaching 96%, reflecting near certainty of his victory.
Mar 19 2026
Park Chan-dae maintains strong lead amid rival candidates' campaign setbacks
Park Chan-dae rises to 95%2%
In March 2026, rival candidates faced campaign difficulties and negative press, while Park Chan-dae's campaign remained steady, resulting in a market price peak at 95%.
Mar 11 2026
Yoon Sang-hyun sees brief uptick in market interest
Yoon Sang-hyun rises to 3%2%
Yoon Sang-hyun experienced a minor, short-lived increase in market price, likely due to localized political speculation or campaign activity, before returning to near-zero levels.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to 23 years for rebellion over martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 87%8%
The conviction of Yoon's prime minister for rebellion related to the martial law crisis further weakened the conservative faction and enhanced Park Chan-dae's standing as the favored candidate in Incheon.
Feb 15 2026
Park Chan-dae consolidates lead as rivals drop to near zero
Park Chan-dae jumps to 92%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share reached 92%, effectively signaling his dominance in the race as other candidates like Yoo Jeong-bok and Park Nam-choon saw their support evaporate.
Jan 16 2026
Park Chan-dae reaches new peak in mayoral market
Park Chan-dae jumps to 88%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share continued to climb, reaching 88% as other candidates' prospects faded.
Jan 15 2026
Polls show Park Chan-dae leading with over 90% support in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae jumps to 90%11%
Mid-January 2026 polls indicated Park Chan-dae commanding over 90% support among likely voters, solidifying his frontrunner status and causing market prices to peak at 90%.
Jan 15 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief for supporting Yoon's martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 80%12%
The court's removal of the police chief for his role in the martial law episode reinforced the legitimacy of the new administration and further discredited Yoon's allies, consolidating support for Park Chan-dae in the mayoral race.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains momentum in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae surges to 63%17%
Following a period of volatility, Park Chan-dae's campaign saw a significant boost in support, reflected in a 17-point price increase in the market.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains significant campaign momentum after key endorsements
Park Chan-dae surges to 62%25%
Park Chan-dae received major endorsements from influential local political figures and organizations, boosting his perceived electability and causing a sharp increase in his market price from 37% to 62%. This event signaled growing establishment support, which was critical in consolidating voter confidence.
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