Ongoing regional tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict and proxy exchanges continue to shape assessments of further Israeli airspace restrictions. Direct missile and drone threats from Iran, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Houthi forces in Yemen have prompted temporary closures, including one on June 8 after interception of a Yemeni ballistic missile that triggered sirens near Tel Aviv. Israeli authorities have balanced security assessments with gradual reopening efforts since the major February-March disruptions, while monitoring risks of renewed escalation. Fragile ceasefires, U.S. diplomatic pressure on strike decisions, and ongoing operations against Hezbollah infrastructure remain key variables. Traders track official aviation notices, military assessments, and any fresh proxy attacks or diplomatic shifts that could trigger new flight halts within coming weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$15,733,141 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
June 14
11%
June 15
20%
June 30
24%
$15,733,141 ปริมาณ
June 14
$591,668 ปริมาณ
11%
June 15
$5,249,581 ปริมาณ
20%
June 30
$2,253,193 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing regional tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict and proxy exchanges continue to shape assessments of further Israeli airspace restrictions. Direct missile and drone threats from Iran, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Houthi forces in Yemen have prompted temporary closures, including one on June 8 after interception of a Yemeni ballistic missile that triggered sirens near Tel Aviv. Israeli authorities have balanced security assessments with gradual reopening efforts since the major February-March disruptions, while monitoring risks of renewed escalation. Fragile ceasefires, U.S. diplomatic pressure on strike decisions, and ongoing operations against Hezbollah infrastructure remain key variables. Traders track official aviation notices, military assessments, and any fresh proxy attacks or diplomatic shifts that could trigger new flight halts within coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 18, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,733,141วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 18, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing regional tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict and proxy exchanges continue to shape assessments of further Israeli airspace restrictions. Direct missile and drone threats from Iran, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Houthi forces in Yemen have prompted temporary closures, including one on June 8 after interception of a Yemeni ballistic missile that triggered sirens near Tel Aviv. Israeli authorities have balanced security assessments with gradual reopening efforts since the major February-March disruptions, while monitoring risks of renewed escalation. Fragile ceasefires, U.S. diplomatic pressure on strike decisions, and ongoing operations against Hezbollah infrastructure remain key variables. Traders track official aviation notices, military assessments, and any fresh proxy attacks or diplomatic shifts that could trigger new flight halts within coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,733,141วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 18, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing regional tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict and proxy exchanges continue to shape assessments of further Israeli airspace restrictions. Direct missile and drone threats from Iran, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Houthi forces in Yemen have prompted temporary closures, including one on June 8 after interception of a Yemeni ballistic missile that triggered sirens near Tel Aviv. Israeli authorities have balanced security assessments with gradual reopening efforts since the major February-March disruptions, while monitoring risks of renewed escalation. Fragile ceasefires, U.S. diplomatic pressure on strike decisions, and ongoing operations against Hezbollah infrastructure remain key variables. Traders track official aviation notices, military assessments, and any fresh proxy attacks or diplomatic shifts that could trigger new flight halts within coming weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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