Recent developments have kept the implied probability of Zionist Home and Yashar running on a joint list near 50%. The Zionist Home–The Reservists alliance between Hili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel dissolved on September 5, 2026, after which Tropper joined Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the sixth list position announced on September 7. Hendel instead formed a separate technical bloc with Yaron Zelekha’s New Economic Party. Both parties share overlapping priorities on universal national service, a Zionist constitution, and excluding Haredi or Arab parties from coalitions, yet institutional and personal differences have prevented a full merger. Final party lists are due shortly before the October 27 election, leaving room for last-minute technical blocs or further negotiations that could shift trader assessments either direction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Yashar contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zionist Home and Yashar contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent developments have kept the implied probability of Zionist Home and Yashar running on a joint list near 50%. The Zionist Home–The Reservists alliance between Hili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel dissolved on September 5, 2026, after which Tropper joined Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in the sixth list position announced on September 7. Hendel instead formed a separate technical bloc with Yaron Zelekha’s New Economic Party. Both parties share overlapping priorities on universal national service, a Zionist constitution, and excluding Haredi or Arab parties from coalitions, yet institutional and personal differences have prevented a full merger. Final party lists are due shortly before the October 27 election, leaving room for last-minute technical blocs or further negotiations that could shift trader assessments either direction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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