Incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall faces a fragmented Democratic primary ahead of the August 4, 2026, vote in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in more than a century. Recent candidate filings and announcements, including prominent pastor Adam Hamilton, have added visibility to the Democratic side but produced no polling shifts that challenge the structural GOP advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices assigns an 80 percent probability to a Republican victory, consistent with Kansas’s partisan voting index and historical results in similar midterm cycles. The general election on November 3 remains more than five months away, leaving room for primary outcomes or late developments to influence positioning before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$28,102 ปริมาณ
$28,102 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
80%
Democrat
19%
$28,102 ปริมาณ
$28,102 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$16,846 ปริมาณ
80%
Democrat
$11,256 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall faces a fragmented Democratic primary ahead of the August 4, 2026, vote in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in more than a century. Recent candidate filings and announcements, including prominent pastor Adam Hamilton, have added visibility to the Democratic side but produced no polling shifts that challenge the structural GOP advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices assigns an 80 percent probability to a Republican victory, consistent with Kansas’s partisan voting index and historical results in similar midterm cycles. The general election on November 3 remains more than five months away, leaving room for primary outcomes or late developments to influence positioning before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,102วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall faces a fragmented Democratic primary ahead of the August 4, 2026, vote in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in more than a century. Recent candidate filings and announcements, including prominent pastor Adam Hamilton, have added visibility to the Democratic side but produced no polling shifts that challenge the structural GOP advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices assigns an 80 percent probability to a Republican victory, consistent with Kansas’s partisan voting index and historical results in similar midterm cycles. The general election on November 3 remains more than five months away, leaving room for primary outcomes or late developments to influence positioning before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,102วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall faces a fragmented Democratic primary ahead of the August 4, 2026, vote in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in more than a century. Recent candidate filings and announcements, including prominent pastor Adam Hamilton, have added visibility to the Democratic side but produced no polling shifts that challenge the structural GOP advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices assigns an 80 percent probability to a Republican victory, consistent with Kansas’s partisan voting index and historical results in similar midterm cycles. The general election on November 3 remains more than five months away, leaving room for primary outcomes or late developments to influence positioning before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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