Traders assign overwhelming probability to fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account between May 12 and May 19 because the platform has maintained sparse activity since the February 2026 leadership transition. Following the assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, his successor has directed infrequent official statements, often limited to archival reposts or measured commentary on regional issues. Only one post appeared in the current window as of mid-May, consistent with prior weeks that produced one or two entries amid ongoing diplomatic caution. This pattern reflects institutional preference for controlled messaging during heightened tensions rather than daily engagement, leaving limited room for higher volumes unless a major event prompts additional statements before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 82%
5-9 5%
10-14 2.5%
15-19 1.1%
$11,819 ปริมาณ
$11,819 ปริมาณ
May 19, 2026
<5
85%
5-9
5%
10-14
2%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 82%
5-9 5%
10-14 2.5%
15-19 1.1%
$11,819 ปริมาณ
$11,819 ปริมาณ
May 19, 2026
<5
$2,252 ปริมาณ
85%
5-9
$1,991 ปริมาณ
5%
10-14
$981 ปริมาณ
2%
15-19
$1,493 ปริมาณ
1%
20-24
$946 ปริมาณ
1%
25-29
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
30-34
$458 ปริมาณ
1%
35-39
$443 ปริมาณ
<1%
40-44
$596 ปริมาณ
<1%
45-49
$484 ปริมาณ
1%
50-54
$498 ปริมาณ
<1%
55-59
$609 ปริมาณ
<1%
60+
$666 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign overwhelming probability to fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account between May 12 and May 19 because the platform has maintained sparse activity since the February 2026 leadership transition. Following the assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, his successor has directed infrequent official statements, often limited to archival reposts or measured commentary on regional issues. Only one post appeared in the current window as of mid-May, consistent with prior weeks that produced one or two entries amid ongoing diplomatic caution. This pattern reflects institutional preference for controlled messaging during heightened tensions rather than daily engagement, leaving limited room for higher volumes unless a major event prompts additional statements before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,819วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign overwhelming probability to fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account between May 12 and May 19 because the platform has maintained sparse activity since the February 2026 leadership transition. Following the assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, his successor has directed infrequent official statements, often limited to archival reposts or measured commentary on regional issues. Only one post appeared in the current window as of mid-May, consistent with prior weeks that produced one or two entries amid ongoing diplomatic caution. This pattern reflects institutional preference for controlled messaging during heightened tensions rather than daily engagement, leaving limited room for higher volumes unless a major event prompts additional statements before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,819วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming probability to fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account between May 12 and May 19 because the platform has maintained sparse activity since the February 2026 leadership transition. Following the assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, his successor has directed infrequent official statements, often limited to archival reposts or measured commentary on regional issues. Only one post appeared in the current window as of mid-May, consistent with prior weeks that produced one or two entries amid ongoing diplomatic caution. This pattern reflects institutional preference for controlled messaging during heightened tensions rather than daily engagement, leaving limited room for higher volumes unless a major event prompts additional statements before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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