Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI majority-minority seat spanning New Orleans and Baton Rouge where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 83%. No Republican candidates filed by the February deadline, canceling the GOP primary and guaranteeing a Democratic nominee advances in the state's open primary system. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, suspending May 16 partisan primaries and prompting new qualifying in late July, though district fundamentals favor Democrats amid Carter's dominant past wins (60% in 2024) and superior fundraising over challenger Renada Collins. GOP odds at 8.6% reflect absent opposition, with uncertainty tied to potential map redraws.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$40,625 ปริมาณ
$40,625 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
9%
$40,625 ปริมาณ
$40,625 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,941 ปริมาณ
83%
Republican Party
$19,684 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI majority-minority seat spanning New Orleans and Baton Rouge where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 83%. No Republican candidates filed by the February deadline, canceling the GOP primary and guaranteeing a Democratic nominee advances in the state's open primary system. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, suspending May 16 partisan primaries and prompting new qualifying in late July, though district fundamentals favor Democrats amid Carter's dominant past wins (60% in 2024) and superior fundraising over challenger Renada Collins. GOP odds at 8.6% reflect absent opposition, with uncertainty tied to potential map redraws.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,625วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI majority-minority seat spanning New Orleans and Baton Rouge where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 83%. No Republican candidates filed by the February deadline, canceling the GOP primary and guaranteeing a Democratic nominee advances in the state's open primary system. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, suspending May 16 partisan primaries and prompting new qualifying in late July, though district fundamentals favor Democrats amid Carter's dominant past wins (60% in 2024) and superior fundraising over challenger Renada Collins. GOP odds at 8.6% reflect absent opposition, with uncertainty tied to potential map redraws.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,625วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI majority-minority seat spanning New Orleans and Baton Rouge where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 83%. No Republican candidates filed by the February deadline, canceling the GOP primary and guaranteeing a Democratic nominee advances in the state's open primary system. A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down the congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, suspending May 16 partisan primaries and prompting new qualifying in late July, though district fundamentals favor Democrats amid Carter's dominant past wins (60% in 2024) and superior fundraising over challenger Renada Collins. GOP odds at 8.6% reflect absent opposition, with uncertainty tied to potential map redraws.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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