Traders see the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 14 clustering tightly around 14–15°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show overlapping solutions near those values, with only modest spread in predicted overnight radiative cooling. Mid-September transitional conditions, including variable high pressure and light winds, allow surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, but differing treatments of cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture create the observed 26–29% probabilities across the 12–15°C range. Official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizes this uncertainty window, with fresh model runs expected to refine the minimum before resolution. Historical September minima in the Ankara basin typically fall in this band, underscoring why small forecast shifts can still move the tightly contested outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
22°C or higher 54%
16°C 39%
18°C 38%
19°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
16%
13°C
26%
14°C
29%
15°C
29%
16°C
39%
17°C
37%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
13%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
54%
22°C or higher 54%
16°C 39%
18°C 38%
19°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
13°C
$54 ปริมาณ
26%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
16°C
$20 ปริมาณ
39%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
22°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 14 clustering tightly around 14–15°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show overlapping solutions near those values, with only modest spread in predicted overnight radiative cooling. Mid-September transitional conditions, including variable high pressure and light winds, allow surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, but differing treatments of cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture create the observed 26–29% probabilities across the 12–15°C range. Official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizes this uncertainty window, with fresh model runs expected to refine the minimum before resolution. Historical September minima in the Ankara basin typically fall in this band, underscoring why small forecast shifts can still move the tightly contested outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$74วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 14 clustering tightly around 14–15°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show overlapping solutions near those values, with only modest spread in predicted overnight radiative cooling. Mid-September transitional conditions, including variable high pressure and light winds, allow surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, but differing treatments of cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture create the observed 26–29% probabilities across the 12–15°C range. Official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizes this uncertainty window, with fresh model runs expected to refine the minimum before resolution. Historical September minima in the Ankara basin typically fall in this band, underscoring why small forecast shifts can still move the tightly contested outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$74วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 14 clustering tightly around 14–15°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show overlapping solutions near those values, with only modest spread in predicted overnight radiative cooling. Mid-September transitional conditions, including variable high pressure and light winds, allow surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, but differing treatments of cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture create the observed 26–29% probabilities across the 12–15°C range. Official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizes this uncertainty window, with fresh model runs expected to refine the minimum before resolution. Historical September minima in the Ankara basin typically fall in this band, underscoring why small forecast shifts can still move the tightly contested outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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