**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 6 will fall in the 14–17°C range under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the clustered market odds around 14–15°C while leaving room for the near-even split between 20°C+ (40.5%) and 10°C or below (39.0%).** Radiational cooling overnight, with dew points near 8–9°C and minimal cloud cover, favors the lower end of that band, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day change and no incoming fronts or moisture that could alter the thermal profile before resolution. Traders appear focused on small differences in official station readings versus broader area averages, plus typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C this close to the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
20°C or higher 77%
14°C 50%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
-
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
36%
15°C
28%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
48%
20°C or higher
77%
20°C or higher 77%
14°C 50%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$4 ปริมาณ
-
11°C
$8 ปริมาณ
26%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
14°C
$6 ปริมาณ
36%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
20°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 6 will fall in the 14–17°C range under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the clustered market odds around 14–15°C while leaving room for the near-even split between 20°C+ (40.5%) and 10°C or below (39.0%).** Radiational cooling overnight, with dew points near 8–9°C and minimal cloud cover, favors the lower end of that band, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day change and no incoming fronts or moisture that could alter the thermal profile before resolution. Traders appear focused on small differences in official station readings versus broader area averages, plus typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 6 will fall in the 14–17°C range under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the clustered market odds around 14–15°C while leaving room for the near-even split between 20°C+ (40.5%) and 10°C or below (39.0%).** Radiational cooling overnight, with dew points near 8–9°C and minimal cloud cover, favors the lower end of that band, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day change and no incoming fronts or moisture that could alter the thermal profile before resolution. Traders appear focused on small differences in official station readings versus broader area averages, plus typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 6 will fall in the 14–17°C range under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the clustered market odds around 14–15°C while leaving room for the near-even split between 20°C+ (40.5%) and 10°C or below (39.0%).** Radiational cooling overnight, with dew points near 8–9°C and minimal cloud cover, favors the lower end of that band, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day change and no incoming fronts or moisture that could alter the thermal profile before resolution. Traders appear focused on small differences in official station readings versus broader area averages, plus typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C this close to the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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