Recent forecasts from Turkish meteorological authorities and global models indicate predominantly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Ankara on September 6, with light northerly winds and high pressure supporting daytime warming to a peak near 32°C. This aligns with the market's strong 74.5% implied probability for that exact high, as multiple runs converge on readings above the early-September climatological average of 26–27°C. Limited cloud cover and dry air have allowed efficient solar heating through the morning hours, while the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture reduces downside risk to 31°C or lower. Updated guidance shows minimal model spread around the 31–33°C range, sustaining trader confidence in the current leader.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
32°C 75%
33°C 15%
31°C 9%
30°C 2%
$17,210 ปริมาณ
$17,210 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
75%
33°C
15%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 75%
33°C 15%
31°C 9%
30°C 2%
$17,210 ปริมาณ
$17,210 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
75%
33°C
15%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Turkish meteorological authorities and global models indicate predominantly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Ankara on September 6, with light northerly winds and high pressure supporting daytime warming to a peak near 32°C. This aligns with the market's strong 74.5% implied probability for that exact high, as multiple runs converge on readings above the early-September climatological average of 26–27°C. Limited cloud cover and dry air have allowed efficient solar heating through the morning hours, while the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture reduces downside risk to 31°C or lower. Updated guidance shows minimal model spread around the 31–33°C range, sustaining trader confidence in the current leader.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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