**Current numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles project overnight lows near 16–17°C in Ankara on September 5 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.** This setup favors typical late-summer radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or wind to moderate temperature drops, aligning with the elevated market-implied odds on 13°C or below as traders price in possible model variability, urban heat island effects, or slight downward revisions in guidance. Recent stability in high-pressure patterns has kept temperatures consistent with seasonal baselines, though short-term ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minima. Official forecast updates and observational data releases in the coming days will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Ankara on September 5?
23°C or higher 59%
16°C 48%
13°C or below 47%
17°C 47%
13°C or below
47%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
48%
17°C
47%
18°C
2%
19°C
19%
20°C
19%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
59%
23°C or higher 59%
16°C 48%
13°C or below 47%
17°C 47%
13°C or below
47%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
48%
17°C
47%
18°C
2%
19°C
19%
20°C
19%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles project overnight lows near 16–17°C in Ankara on September 5 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.** This setup favors typical late-summer radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or wind to moderate temperature drops, aligning with the elevated market-implied odds on 13°C or below as traders price in possible model variability, urban heat island effects, or slight downward revisions in guidance. Recent stability in high-pressure patterns has kept temperatures consistent with seasonal baselines, though short-term ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minima. Official forecast updates and observational data releases in the coming days will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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