Recent official forecasts from agencies and models converge on a daytime high of 29–31 °C for Incheon/Seoul on 3 September 2026 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, light northerly flow, and minimal precipitation. This places the market’s leading 30 °C outcome (49.5 % implied probability) squarely in line with the consensus maximum, while the 31 °C share (25 %) reflects residual model spread and the possibility of brief afternoon warming under clearing skies. Early-September climatology shows mean highs near 27–28 °C, so current guidance indicates a modest positive anomaly driven by a lingering warm air mass and limited cloud cover rather than an extreme event. With only two days until resolution and stable high-pressure steering patterns expected, traders have anchored probabilities tightly around the narrow 29–31 °C band; further model runs or updated surface observations could shift the distribution only modestly within that range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
30°C 50%
31°C 24%
29°C 20%
32°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
20%
30°C
50%
31°C
24%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
31°C 24%
29°C 20%
32°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
24°C or below
$230 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$522 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$302 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$251 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$322 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$623 ปริมาณ
20%
30°C
$1,143 ปริมาณ
50%
31°C
$853 ปริมาณ
24%
32°C
$616 ปริมาณ
6%
33°C
$312 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C or higher
$394 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models converge on a daytime high of 29–31 °C for Incheon/Seoul on 3 September 2026 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, light northerly flow, and minimal precipitation. This places the market’s leading 30 °C outcome (49.5 % implied probability) squarely in line with the consensus maximum, while the 31 °C share (25 %) reflects residual model spread and the possibility of brief afternoon warming under clearing skies. Early-September climatology shows mean highs near 27–28 °C, so current guidance indicates a modest positive anomaly driven by a lingering warm air mass and limited cloud cover rather than an extreme event. With only two days until resolution and stable high-pressure steering patterns expected, traders have anchored probabilities tightly around the narrow 29–31 °C band; further model runs or updated surface observations could shift the distribution only modestly within that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,570วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models converge on a daytime high of 29–31 °C for Incheon/Seoul on 3 September 2026 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, light northerly flow, and minimal precipitation. This places the market’s leading 30 °C outcome (49.5 % implied probability) squarely in line with the consensus maximum, while the 31 °C share (25 %) reflects residual model spread and the possibility of brief afternoon warming under clearing skies. Early-September climatology shows mean highs near 27–28 °C, so current guidance indicates a modest positive anomaly driven by a lingering warm air mass and limited cloud cover rather than an extreme event. With only two days until resolution and stable high-pressure steering patterns expected, traders have anchored probabilities tightly around the narrow 29–31 °C band; further model runs or updated surface observations could shift the distribution only modestly within that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,570วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models converge on a daytime high of 29–31 °C for Incheon/Seoul on 3 September 2026 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, light northerly flow, and minimal precipitation. This places the market’s leading 30 °C outcome (49.5 % implied probability) squarely in line with the consensus maximum, while the 31 °C share (25 %) reflects residual model spread and the possibility of brief afternoon warming under clearing skies. Early-September climatology shows mean highs near 27–28 °C, so current guidance indicates a modest positive anomaly driven by a lingering warm air mass and limited cloud cover rather than an extreme event. With only two days until resolution and stable high-pressure steering patterns expected, traders have anchored probabilities tightly around the narrow 29–31 °C band; further model runs or updated surface observations could shift the distribution only modestly within that range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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