**Forecast models from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), ECMWF, and GFS indicate overnight lows of 20–22°C in Incheon/Seoul on September 3, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 21°C and 22°C (combined ~56.5% implied probability). A ridge of high pressure is expected to promote radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–31°C, while coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and dew points near 20–21°C limit further drops. Ensemble spreads and minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the narrow uncertainty band between these outcomes, consistent with typical early-September variability where minimum temperatures often fall in a 2–3°C window. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the exact minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
22°C 28%
21°C 27%
23°C 16%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
7%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
16%
24°C
9%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 28%
21°C 27%
23°C 16%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
$314 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$102 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C
$75 ปริมาณ
6%
19°C
$36 ปริมาณ
5%
20°C
$61 ปริมาณ
7%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
23°C
$10 ปริมาณ
16%
24°C
$219 ปริมาณ
9%
25°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), ECMWF, and GFS indicate overnight lows of 20–22°C in Incheon/Seoul on September 3, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.**
This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 21°C and 22°C (combined ~56.5% implied probability). A ridge of high pressure is expected to promote radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–31°C, while coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and dew points near 20–21°C limit further drops. Ensemble spreads and minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the narrow uncertainty band between these outcomes, consistent with typical early-September variability where minimum temperatures often fall in a 2–3°C window. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$848วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), ECMWF, and GFS indicate overnight lows of 20–22°C in Incheon/Seoul on September 3, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.**
This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 21°C and 22°C (combined ~56.5% implied probability). A ridge of high pressure is expected to promote radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–31°C, while coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and dew points near 20–21°C limit further drops. Ensemble spreads and minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the narrow uncertainty band between these outcomes, consistent with typical early-September variability where minimum temperatures often fall in a 2–3°C window. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$848วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), ECMWF, and GFS indicate overnight lows of 20–22°C in Incheon/Seoul on September 3, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 21°C and 22°C (combined ~56.5% implied probability). A ridge of high pressure is expected to promote radiative cooling after daytime highs of 29–31°C, while coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and dew points near 20–21°C limit further drops. Ensemble spreads and minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed create the narrow uncertainty band between these outcomes, consistent with typical early-September variability where minimum temperatures often fall in a 2–3°C window. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the exact minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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