Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s for Chicago on September 5, with northeast winds off Lake Michigan providing moderation and limiting radiational cooling. High humidity and a slight morning storm chance may further temper the daily minimum. Multiple ensemble members cluster near 70–74 °F, producing the tight distribution of market-implied probabilities across the 68–75 °F bins. Updated model runs expected later today, along with any shifts in steering flow or lake-breeze timing, represent the key variables that could refine the exact low before resolution. Historical September climatology shows an average low near 63 °F, underscoring how this warm pattern elevates current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chicago on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 5?
65°F or below 49%
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
84°F or higher 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
65°F or below
49%
66-67°F
47%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
20%
84°F or higher
48%
65°F or below 49%
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
84°F or higher 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
65°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
84°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s for Chicago on September 5, with northeast winds off Lake Michigan providing moderation and limiting radiational cooling. High humidity and a slight morning storm chance may further temper the daily minimum. Multiple ensemble members cluster near 70–74 °F, producing the tight distribution of market-implied probabilities across the 68–75 °F bins. Updated model runs expected later today, along with any shifts in steering flow or lake-breeze timing, represent the key variables that could refine the exact low before resolution. Historical September climatology shows an average low near 63 °F, underscoring how this warm pattern elevates current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s for Chicago on September 5, with northeast winds off Lake Michigan providing moderation and limiting radiational cooling. High humidity and a slight morning storm chance may further temper the daily minimum. Multiple ensemble members cluster near 70–74 °F, producing the tight distribution of market-implied probabilities across the 68–75 °F bins. Updated model runs expected later today, along with any shifts in steering flow or lake-breeze timing, represent the key variables that could refine the exact low before resolution. Historical September climatology shows an average low near 63 °F, underscoring how this warm pattern elevates current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s for Chicago on September 5, with northeast winds off Lake Michigan providing moderation and limiting radiational cooling. High humidity and a slight morning storm chance may further temper the daily minimum. Multiple ensemble members cluster near 70–74 °F, producing the tight distribution of market-implied probabilities across the 68–75 °F bins. Updated model runs expected later today, along with any shifts in steering flow or lake-breeze timing, represent the key variables that could refine the exact low before resolution. Historical September climatology shows an average low near 63 °F, underscoring how this warm pattern elevates current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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