Current ensemble forecasts from regional models point to a Guangzhou minimum temperature near 25–26 °C on September 16, consistent with late-summer subtropical norms and recent stable conditions featuring light southerly flow and moderate humidity. Trader consensus remains evenly split between sub-20 °C and 30 °C-plus outcomes because short-term variability in cloud cover, rainfall, and any late-arriving moisture surge can shift overnight radiative cooling by several degrees. Clearer skies promote greater surface heat loss and lower minima, while persistent cloud decks or warm advection from the south suppress cooling and elevate the low. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and any new observational data on steering patterns will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16?
20°C or below 79%
30°C or higher 79%
27°C 39%
26°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
79%
21°C
17%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
23%
27°C
39%
28°C
17%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
79%
20°C or below 79%
30°C or higher 79%
27°C 39%
26°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
79%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
22°C
$199 ปริมาณ
22%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
30°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models point to a Guangzhou minimum temperature near 25–26 °C on September 16, consistent with late-summer subtropical norms and recent stable conditions featuring light southerly flow and moderate humidity. Trader consensus remains evenly split between sub-20 °C and 30 °C-plus outcomes because short-term variability in cloud cover, rainfall, and any late-arriving moisture surge can shift overnight radiative cooling by several degrees. Clearer skies promote greater surface heat loss and lower minima, while persistent cloud decks or warm advection from the south suppress cooling and elevate the low. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and any new observational data on steering patterns will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$199วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models point to a Guangzhou minimum temperature near 25–26 °C on September 16, consistent with late-summer subtropical norms and recent stable conditions featuring light southerly flow and moderate humidity. Trader consensus remains evenly split between sub-20 °C and 30 °C-plus outcomes because short-term variability in cloud cover, rainfall, and any late-arriving moisture surge can shift overnight radiative cooling by several degrees. Clearer skies promote greater surface heat loss and lower minima, while persistent cloud decks or warm advection from the south suppress cooling and elevate the low. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and any new observational data on steering patterns will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$199วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from regional models point to a Guangzhou minimum temperature near 25–26 °C on September 16, consistent with late-summer subtropical norms and recent stable conditions featuring light southerly flow and moderate humidity. Trader consensus remains evenly split between sub-20 °C and 30 °C-plus outcomes because short-term variability in cloud cover, rainfall, and any late-arriving moisture surge can shift overnight radiative cooling by several degrees. Clearer skies promote greater surface heat loss and lower minima, while persistent cloud decks or warm advection from the south suppress cooling and elevate the low. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and any new observational data on steering patterns will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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