Forecast models from agencies including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 18 likely between 25–28 °C, driven by light easterly to southerly winds, high humidity near 60–80 %, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling under a subtropical ridge. This setup aligns with recent observations of 26 °C lows and historical September averages around 24 °C, though urban heat retention and minimal precipitation keep values above typical climatology. Ensemble spread and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28 °C, with lower probabilities for cooler outcomes requiring stronger northerly advection or clearer skies not currently projected. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 18?
20°C or below 100%
28°C 97%
25°C 92%
26°C 47%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
100%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
20%
25°C
92%
26°C
47%
27°C
50%
28°C
97%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 100%
28°C 97%
25°C 92%
26°C 47%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$84 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C
$93 ปริมาณ
20%
25°C
$73 ปริมาณ
92%
26°C
$36 ปริมาณ
47%
27°C
$87 ปริมาณ
50%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
97%
29°C
$36 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$36 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 18 likely between 25–28 °C, driven by light easterly to southerly winds, high humidity near 60–80 %, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling under a subtropical ridge. This setup aligns with recent observations of 26 °C lows and historical September averages around 24 °C, though urban heat retention and minimal precipitation keep values above typical climatology. Ensemble spread and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28 °C, with lower probabilities for cooler outcomes requiring stronger northerly advection or clearer skies not currently projected. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$445วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 18 likely between 25–28 °C, driven by light easterly to southerly winds, high humidity near 60–80 %, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling under a subtropical ridge. This setup aligns with recent observations of 26 °C lows and historical September averages around 24 °C, though urban heat retention and minimal precipitation keep values above typical climatology. Ensemble spread and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28 °C, with lower probabilities for cooler outcomes requiring stronger northerly advection or clearer skies not currently projected. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$445วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 18 likely between 25–28 °C, driven by light easterly to southerly winds, high humidity near 60–80 %, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling under a subtropical ridge. This setup aligns with recent observations of 26 °C lows and historical September averages around 24 °C, though urban heat retention and minimal precipitation keep values above typical climatology. Ensemble spread and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28 °C, with lower probabilities for cooler outcomes requiring stronger northerly advection or clearer skies not currently projected. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย