**Forecast consensus points to a minimum near 25°C for Guangzhou on September 6, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and typical subtropical humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple sources, including local Chinese meteorological data and international models, project lows of 25–26°C (77–79°F), consistent with the historical average low of ~24.8°C for the date and current seasonal patterns influenced by monsoon remnants. Light northerly winds and 50–70% rain probabilities overnight further stabilize temperatures in this narrow range, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky conditions expected to push readings notably lower. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 24–26°C outcomes because model spreads remain small this close to the event, though exact station readings can vary slightly due to urban heat island effects or precise precipitation timing. Official confirmation will come from China Meteorological Administration observations, with any late forecast adjustments likely to refine rather than overhaul the current implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
20°C or below 57%
22°C 49%
27°C 49%
25°C 40%
20°C or below
57%
21°C
14%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
40%
26°C
31%
27°C
49%
28°C
8%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
2%
20°C or below 57%
22°C 49%
27°C 49%
25°C 40%
20°C or below
57%
21°C
14%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
40%
26°C
31%
27°C
49%
28°C
8%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a minimum near 25°C for Guangzhou on September 6, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and typical subtropical humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple sources, including local Chinese meteorological data and international models, project lows of 25–26°C (77–79°F), consistent with the historical average low of ~24.8°C for the date and current seasonal patterns influenced by monsoon remnants. Light northerly winds and 50–70% rain probabilities overnight further stabilize temperatures in this narrow range, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky conditions expected to push readings notably lower. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 24–26°C outcomes because model spreads remain small this close to the event, though exact station readings can vary slightly due to urban heat island effects or precise precipitation timing. Official confirmation will come from China Meteorological Administration observations, with any late forecast adjustments likely to refine rather than overhaul the current implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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