**Trader consensus has converged on 9°C as the lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 28, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-term forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute showing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies with light winds.** Current conditions feature temperatures falling into the mid-teens Celsius by late evening, with models indicating a minimum near 9°C before dawn as surface heat loss accelerates in the absence of significant cloud cover or stronger advection. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where clear nights often produce lows several degrees below daytime averages around 18–20°C. The 100% market-implied probability underscores strong agreement across ensemble forecasts and surface observations, though an unexpected increase in low-level cloud or a shift in wind patterns could limit further cooling and push the minimum slightly higher. Official station readings from Helsinki Kaisaniemi will determine final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 28?
9°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,690 ปริมาณ
$1,690 ปริมาณ
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,690 ปริมาณ
$1,690 ปริมาณ
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 9°C as the lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 28, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-term forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute showing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies with light winds.** Current conditions feature temperatures falling into the mid-teens Celsius by late evening, with models indicating a minimum near 9°C before dawn as surface heat loss accelerates in the absence of significant cloud cover or stronger advection. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where clear nights often produce lows several degrees below daytime averages around 18–20°C. The 100% market-implied probability underscores strong agreement across ensemble forecasts and surface observations, though an unexpected increase in low-level cloud or a shift in wind patterns could limit further cooling and push the minimum slightly higher. Official station readings from Helsinki Kaisaniemi will determine final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย