**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 9–13°C for Helsinki’s daily minimum on September 13, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Current model runs show a range of 9–11°C lows under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 5–10 m/s and scattered light rain, conditions that limit clear-sky heat loss while the Baltic Sea provides modest moderation. Historical climatology places the September 13 average low near 9.7°C, with recent years often recording 10–12°C minima under similar autumn patterns of lengthening nights and variable frontal activity. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on small shifts in cloud timing and wind speed during the coolest hours; clearer breaks or lighter winds would favor the lower tail (8–9°C), while persistent overcast or a stronger onshore flow supports the upper side (12–13°C). Updated high-resolution model guidance and any late-day observations will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 13?
9°C 33%
10°C 18%
11°C 18%
12°C 18%
$251 ปริมาณ
$251 ปริมาณ
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
15%
9°C
33%
10°C
18%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
10%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 33%
10°C 18%
11°C 18%
12°C 18%
$251 ปริมาณ
$251 ปริมาณ
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
15%
9°C
33%
10°C
18%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
10%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 9–13°C for Helsinki’s daily minimum on September 13, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Current model runs show a range of 9–11°C lows under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 5–10 m/s and scattered light rain, conditions that limit clear-sky heat loss while the Baltic Sea provides modest moderation. Historical climatology places the September 13 average low near 9.7°C, with recent years often recording 10–12°C minima under similar autumn patterns of lengthening nights and variable frontal activity. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on small shifts in cloud timing and wind speed during the coolest hours; clearer breaks or lighter winds would favor the lower tail (8–9°C), while persistent overcast or a stronger onshore flow supports the upper side (12–13°C). Updated high-resolution model guidance and any late-day observations will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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