Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 20–22°C under clear skies and persistent northeasterly flow. High-pressure dominance and light-to-moderate Etesian winds limit radiative cooling and moisture advection, keeping minimum temperatures above typical early-September norms of 17–19°C. Current ensemble consensus shows little disagreement on the absence of a cold front or enhanced cloud cover that could drive sharper drops, supporting the market's elevated implied probabilities for 20–23°C outcomes while assigning low odds to sub-18°C readings. Updated runs expected from regional agencies in the next 12 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 2?
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
20°C 98%
19°C 78%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
8%
17°C
13%
18°C
13%
19°C
78%
20°C
98%
21°C
78%
22°C
62%
23°C
100%
24°C
78%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
9%
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
20°C 98%
19°C 78%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
17°C
$57 ปริมาณ
13%
18°C
$69 ปริมาณ
13%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
78%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
78%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
62%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
24°C
$4 ปริมาณ
78%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
100%
26°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 20–22°C under clear skies and persistent northeasterly flow. High-pressure dominance and light-to-moderate Etesian winds limit radiative cooling and moisture advection, keeping minimum temperatures above typical early-September norms of 17–19°C. Current ensemble consensus shows little disagreement on the absence of a cold front or enhanced cloud cover that could drive sharper drops, supporting the market's elevated implied probabilities for 20–23°C outcomes while assigning low odds to sub-18°C readings. Updated runs expected from regional agencies in the next 12 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$145วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 20–22°C under clear skies and persistent northeasterly flow. High-pressure dominance and light-to-moderate Etesian winds limit radiative cooling and moisture advection, keeping minimum temperatures above typical early-September norms of 17–19°C. Current ensemble consensus shows little disagreement on the absence of a cold front or enhanced cloud cover that could drive sharper drops, supporting the market's elevated implied probabilities for 20–23°C outcomes while assigning low odds to sub-18°C readings. Updated runs expected from regional agencies in the next 12 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$145วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 20–22°C under clear skies and persistent northeasterly flow. High-pressure dominance and light-to-moderate Etesian winds limit radiative cooling and moisture advection, keeping minimum temperatures above typical early-September norms of 17–19°C. Current ensemble consensus shows little disagreement on the absence of a cold front or enhanced cloud cover that could drive sharper drops, supporting the market's elevated implied probabilities for 20–23°C outcomes while assigning low odds to sub-18°C readings. Updated runs expected from regional agencies in the next 12 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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