**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight, promoting radiative cooling and positioning the daily minimum near 15–16 °C.** This aligns with early-September climatology for Jinan, where average lows hover around 16–18 °C as the region transitions from summer warmth. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance converging on this range rather than warmer or sharply colder outcomes, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (70 %) and 15 °C (28 %). Higher probabilities for 18 °C or above remain minimal, reflecting the absence of warmer-air advection or increased cloud cover that would limit cooling. Official station observations for the full calendar day will resolve the market once nighttime temperatures are recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Jinan on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 5?
13°C 10%
12°C or below 1%
14°C 1%
18°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
1%
15°C
27%
16°C
70%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
13°C 10%
12°C or below 1%
14°C 1%
18°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
12°C or below
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$22 ปริมาณ
10%
14°C
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$85 ปริมาณ
27%
16°C
$444 ปริมาณ
70%
17°C
$265 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$450 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$65 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight, promoting radiative cooling and positioning the daily minimum near 15–16 °C.** This aligns with early-September climatology for Jinan, where average lows hover around 16–18 °C as the region transitions from summer warmth. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance converging on this range rather than warmer or sharply colder outcomes, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (70 %) and 15 °C (28 %). Higher probabilities for 18 °C or above remain minimal, reflecting the absence of warmer-air advection or increased cloud cover that would limit cooling. Official station observations for the full calendar day will resolve the market once nighttime temperatures are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,540วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight, promoting radiative cooling and positioning the daily minimum near 15–16 °C.** This aligns with early-September climatology for Jinan, where average lows hover around 16–18 °C as the region transitions from summer warmth. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance converging on this range rather than warmer or sharply colder outcomes, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (70 %) and 15 °C (28 %). Higher probabilities for 18 °C or above remain minimal, reflecting the absence of warmer-air advection or increased cloud cover that would limit cooling. Official station observations for the full calendar day will resolve the market once nighttime temperatures are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,540วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight, promoting radiative cooling and positioning the daily minimum near 15–16 °C.** This aligns with early-September climatology for Jinan, where average lows hover around 16–18 °C as the region transitions from summer warmth. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance converging on this range rather than warmer or sharply colder outcomes, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (70 %) and 15 °C (28 %). Higher probabilities for 18 °C or above remain minimal, reflecting the absence of warmer-air advection or increased cloud cover that would limit cooling. Official station observations for the full calendar day will resolve the market once nighttime temperatures are recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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