**Cooler northeasterly flow and clear skies are driving expectations for a notably low minimum temperature in Madrid on September 10, 2026.** Current model guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, points to overnight lows near 12°C (roughly 53–58°F) under clear to partly cloudy conditions after any lingering showers on September 9. Northeasterly winds are advecting drier, cooler air into the region, while radiational cooling under mostly clear skies overnight enhances the drop—typical for Madrid’s high-altitude plateau setting. This aligns with the market’s leading outcome of 11°C or below at 60.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 22%. Historical September averages hover around 16°C for daily lows, so the current setup represents a notable departure. Key upcoming factors include the final model runs and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date, which could refine the exact minimum if cloud cover or wind shifts occur. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in this cooler regime based on the latest atmospheric pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Madrid on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 10?
11°C or below 62%
12°C 22%
21°C or higher 21%
17°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
11°C or below
62%
12°C
22%
13°C
12%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
9%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
16%
21°C or higher
21%
11°C or below 62%
12°C 22%
21°C or higher 21%
17°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
11°C or below
$2 ปริมาณ
62%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
17°C
$6 ปริมาณ
16%
18°C
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$6 ปริมาณ
16%
21°C or higher
$35 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cooler northeasterly flow and clear skies are driving expectations for a notably low minimum temperature in Madrid on September 10, 2026.**
Current model guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, points to overnight lows near 12°C (roughly 53–58°F) under clear to partly cloudy conditions after any lingering showers on September 9. Northeasterly winds are advecting drier, cooler air into the region, while radiational cooling under mostly clear skies overnight enhances the drop—typical for Madrid’s high-altitude plateau setting.
This aligns with the market’s leading outcome of 11°C or below at 60.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 22%. Historical September averages hover around 16°C for daily lows, so the current setup represents a notable departure. Key upcoming factors include the final model runs and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date, which could refine the exact minimum if cloud cover or wind shifts occur. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in this cooler regime based on the latest atmospheric pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cooler northeasterly flow and clear skies are driving expectations for a notably low minimum temperature in Madrid on September 10, 2026.**
Current model guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, points to overnight lows near 12°C (roughly 53–58°F) under clear to partly cloudy conditions after any lingering showers on September 9. Northeasterly winds are advecting drier, cooler air into the region, while radiational cooling under mostly clear skies overnight enhances the drop—typical for Madrid’s high-altitude plateau setting.
This aligns with the market’s leading outcome of 11°C or below at 60.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 22%. Historical September averages hover around 16°C for daily lows, so the current setup represents a notable departure. Key upcoming factors include the final model runs and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date, which could refine the exact minimum if cloud cover or wind shifts occur. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in this cooler regime based on the latest atmospheric pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Cooler northeasterly flow and clear skies are driving expectations for a notably low minimum temperature in Madrid on September 10, 2026.** Current model guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, points to overnight lows near 12°C (roughly 53–58°F) under clear to partly cloudy conditions after any lingering showers on September 9. Northeasterly winds are advecting drier, cooler air into the region, while radiational cooling under mostly clear skies overnight enhances the drop—typical for Madrid’s high-altitude plateau setting. This aligns with the market’s leading outcome of 11°C or below at 60.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 22%. Historical September averages hover around 16°C for daily lows, so the current setup represents a notable departure. Key upcoming factors include the final model runs and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date, which could refine the exact minimum if cloud cover or wind shifts occur. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in this cooler regime based on the latest atmospheric pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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