**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 5?
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 45%
74-75°F 4.5%
72-73°F <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 45%
74-75°F 4.5%
72-73°F <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
$391 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$957 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$344 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$181 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$998 ปริมาณ
5%
76-77°F
$423 ปริมาณ
49%
78-79°F
$1,300 ปริมาณ
45%
80-81°F
$1,516 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$1,060 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$457 ปริมาณ
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,031 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,607วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,607วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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