Traders see the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 15 clustering tightly around 24–27°C because the city’s equatorial maritime climate produces minimal diurnal ranges, with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and oceanic influence limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Official forecasts indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and scattered showers, consistent with September climatology of 23–25°C minimums. Small differences in model-resolved wind speed, dewpoint depression, or brief clear-sky intervals can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the near-even distribution of probability across 24°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes. No significant cold-air advection or unusual atmospheric patterns are present to push readings outside this narrow band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Panama City on September 15?
22°C 96%
23°C 94%
24°C 40%
25°C 6%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
96%
23°C
94%
24°C
40%
25°C
20%
26°C
52%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 96%
23°C 94%
24°C 40%
25°C 6%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
96%
23°C
94%
24°C
40%
25°C
20%
26°C
52%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 15 clustering tightly around 24–27°C because the city’s equatorial maritime climate produces minimal diurnal ranges, with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and oceanic influence limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Official forecasts indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and scattered showers, consistent with September climatology of 23–25°C minimums. Small differences in model-resolved wind speed, dewpoint depression, or brief clear-sky intervals can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the near-even distribution of probability across 24°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes. No significant cold-air advection or unusual atmospheric patterns are present to push readings outside this narrow band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย