Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 27 near 27–28 °C, with trader odds tightly split at 44.5 % for 27 °C and 51 % for 28 °C. The narrow range reflects uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds shifting easterly, and a 25–90 % chance of scattered showers that could limit radiative heat loss. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and Shanghai stations shows lows clustered between 26 °C and 28 °C, consistent with late-August climatology but sensitive to small shifts in humidity and cloud timing. Market-implied probabilities therefore capture the latest model consensus and expected updates from the next forecast cycle rather than any single deterministic run.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
28°C 51%
27°C 45%
26°C 4%
29°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
45%
28°C
51%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 45%
26°C 4%
29°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$17 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$48 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$753 ปริมาณ
45%
28°C
$239 ปริมาณ
51%
29°C
$1,165 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$48 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$58 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$153 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C or higher
$163 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 27 near 27–28 °C, with trader odds tightly split at 44.5 % for 27 °C and 51 % for 28 °C. The narrow range reflects uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds shifting easterly, and a 25–90 % chance of scattered showers that could limit radiative heat loss. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and Shanghai stations shows lows clustered between 26 °C and 28 °C, consistent with late-August climatology but sensitive to small shifts in humidity and cloud timing. Market-implied probabilities therefore capture the latest model consensus and expected updates from the next forecast cycle rather than any single deterministic run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,656วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 27 near 27–28 °C, with trader odds tightly split at 44.5 % for 27 °C and 51 % for 28 °C. The narrow range reflects uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds shifting easterly, and a 25–90 % chance of scattered showers that could limit radiative heat loss. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and Shanghai stations shows lows clustered between 26 °C and 28 °C, consistent with late-August climatology but sensitive to small shifts in humidity and cloud timing. Market-implied probabilities therefore capture the latest model consensus and expected updates from the next forecast cycle rather than any single deterministic run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,656วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 27 near 27–28 °C, with trader odds tightly split at 44.5 % for 27 °C and 51 % for 28 °C. The narrow range reflects uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds shifting easterly, and a 25–90 % chance of scattered showers that could limit radiative heat loss. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and Shanghai stations shows lows clustered between 26 °C and 28 °C, consistent with late-August climatology but sensitive to small shifts in humidity and cloud timing. Market-implied probabilities therefore capture the latest model consensus and expected updates from the next forecast cycle rather than any single deterministic run.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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