Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional guidance indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely settle near 25°C, with a modest chance of light showers or increased cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and keeping readings closer to 26–27°C. Westerly winds of 10–15 km/h and dew points near 21–23°C should moderate further drops, while clearer periods could allow temperatures to dip toward 23–24°C. This narrow spread around seasonal norms—historically 22–24°C for mid-September—explains the tightly clustered market probabilities, as traders weigh ensemble variability and the potential for minor shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and additional satellite observations overnight will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
20°C or below 92%
30°C or higher 55%
25°C 46%
26°C 40%
20°C or below
92%
21°C
7%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
46%
26°C
40%
27°C
22%
28°C
15%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
55%
20°C or below 92%
30°C or higher 55%
25°C 46%
26°C 40%
20°C or below
92%
21°C
7%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
46%
26°C
40%
27°C
22%
28°C
15%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional guidance indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely settle near 25°C, with a modest chance of light showers or increased cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and keeping readings closer to 26–27°C. Westerly winds of 10–15 km/h and dew points near 21–23°C should moderate further drops, while clearer periods could allow temperatures to dip toward 23–24°C. This narrow spread around seasonal norms—historically 22–24°C for mid-September—explains the tightly clustered market probabilities, as traders weigh ensemble variability and the potential for minor shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and additional satellite observations overnight will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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