Recent short-range forecasts from sources including GFS data and agencies like those feeding WeatherBug and Yr.no point to a peak of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 17 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. These conditions align with typical mid-September patterns but fall short of the market’s leading 34°C and 35°C outcomes, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Clear, dry air and stable high pressure support modest daytime heating, though urban heat effects or slight model variations could nudge readings higher. No significant warm advection or heatwave signals appear in the latest model consensus, keeping upside limited while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported for the city.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
34°C 48%
35°C 28%
33°C 17%
36°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
17%
34°C
48%
35°C
28%
36°C
8%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 48%
35°C 28%
33°C 17%
36°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
30°C or below
$463 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$502 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$90 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$378 ปริมาณ
17%
34°C
$933 ปริมาณ
48%
35°C
$688 ปริมาณ
28%
36°C
$458 ปริมาณ
8%
37°C
$377 ปริมาณ
3%
38°C
$391 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$183 ปริมาณ
1%
40°C or higher
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including GFS data and agencies like those feeding WeatherBug and Yr.no point to a peak of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 17 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. These conditions align with typical mid-September patterns but fall short of the market’s leading 34°C and 35°C outcomes, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Clear, dry air and stable high pressure support modest daytime heating, though urban heat effects or slight model variations could nudge readings higher. No significant warm advection or heatwave signals appear in the latest model consensus, keeping upside limited while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported for the city.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,746วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including GFS data and agencies like those feeding WeatherBug and Yr.no point to a peak of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 17 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. These conditions align with typical mid-September patterns but fall short of the market’s leading 34°C and 35°C outcomes, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Clear, dry air and stable high pressure support modest daytime heating, though urban heat effects or slight model variations could nudge readings higher. No significant warm advection or heatwave signals appear in the latest model consensus, keeping upside limited while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported for the city.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,746วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including GFS data and agencies like those feeding WeatherBug and Yr.no point to a peak of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 17 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds. These conditions align with typical mid-September patterns but fall short of the market’s leading 34°C and 35°C outcomes, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Clear, dry air and stable high pressure support modest daytime heating, though urban heat effects or slight model variations could nudge readings higher. No significant warm advection or heatwave signals appear in the latest model consensus, keeping upside limited while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported for the city.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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