Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF and Met Office runs, positions Amsterdam’s September 15 maximum near 23–24 °C under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, several degrees above the 19.3 °C 1991–2020 climatological average. Limited precipitation risk and modest diurnal mixing support this range, while small timing differences in cloud cover or wind shifts keep 25 °C and 22 °C as secondary possibilities. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23–24 °C outcomes, consistent with the narrow spread across latest deterministic and ensemble guidance. Updated model runs and official KNMI briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 15?
24°C 48%
23°C 34%
25°C 12%
22°C 6%
ใหม่
$10,067 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,067 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
34%
24°C
48%
25°C
12%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 34%
25°C 12%
22°C 6%
ใหม่
$10,067 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,067 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
$266 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$349 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$580 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$536 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C
$3,007 ปริมาณ
34%
24°C
$1,584 ปริมาณ
48%
25°C
$2,164 ปริมาณ
12%
26°C
$1,046 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$118 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$208 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C or higher
$208 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF and Met Office runs, positions Amsterdam’s September 15 maximum near 23–24 °C under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, several degrees above the 19.3 °C 1991–2020 climatological average. Limited precipitation risk and modest diurnal mixing support this range, while small timing differences in cloud cover or wind shifts keep 25 °C and 22 °C as secondary possibilities. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23–24 °C outcomes, consistent with the narrow spread across latest deterministic and ensemble guidance. Updated model runs and official KNMI briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,067วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF and Met Office runs, positions Amsterdam’s September 15 maximum near 23–24 °C under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, several degrees above the 19.3 °C 1991–2020 climatological average. Limited precipitation risk and modest diurnal mixing support this range, while small timing differences in cloud cover or wind shifts keep 25 °C and 22 °C as secondary possibilities. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23–24 °C outcomes, consistent with the narrow spread across latest deterministic and ensemble guidance. Updated model runs and official KNMI briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,067วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF and Met Office runs, positions Amsterdam’s September 15 maximum near 23–24 °C under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, several degrees above the 19.3 °C 1991–2020 climatological average. Limited precipitation risk and modest diurnal mixing support this range, while small timing differences in cloud cover or wind shifts keep 25 °C and 22 °C as secondary possibilities. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23–24 °C outcomes, consistent with the narrow spread across latest deterministic and ensemble guidance. Updated model runs and official KNMI briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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