Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models project overnight lows in Zhengzhou of 19–21°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under light northerly winds. These conditions align closely with the market’s top implied probabilities for 20°C and 19°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on stable autumn transition weather rather than rapid cooling. Historical September lows average near 16–17°C, but recent model runs show elevated baselines from regional moisture and lack of clear-sky nights. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official Chinese meteorological stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 21?
15°C or below 50%
25°C or higher 44%
20°C 44%
24°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
15°C or below
50%
16°C
32%
17°C
19%
18°C
18%
19°C
35%
20°C
44%
21°C
19%
22°C
35%
23°C
35%
24°C
36%
25°C or higher
44%
15°C or below 50%
25°C or higher 44%
20°C 44%
24°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
15°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
50%
16°C
$10 ปริมาณ
32%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
20°C
$10 ปริมาณ
44%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
22°C
$131 ปริมาณ
35%
23°C
$10 ปริมาณ
35%
24°C
$10 ปริมาณ
36%
25°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models project overnight lows in Zhengzhou of 19–21°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under light northerly winds. These conditions align closely with the market’s top implied probabilities for 20°C and 19°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on stable autumn transition weather rather than rapid cooling. Historical September lows average near 16–17°C, but recent model runs show elevated baselines from regional moisture and lack of clear-sky nights. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official Chinese meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$192วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models project overnight lows in Zhengzhou of 19–21°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under light northerly winds. These conditions align closely with the market’s top implied probabilities for 20°C and 19°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on stable autumn transition weather rather than rapid cooling. Historical September lows average near 16–17°C, but recent model runs show elevated baselines from regional moisture and lack of clear-sky nights. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official Chinese meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$192วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models project overnight lows in Zhengzhou of 19–21°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under light northerly winds. These conditions align closely with the market’s top implied probabilities for 20°C and 19°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on stable autumn transition weather rather than rapid cooling. Historical September lows average near 16–17°C, but recent model runs show elevated baselines from regional moisture and lack of clear-sky nights. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official Chinese meteorological stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย