This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Graham Platner has consolidated overwhelming support in Maine’s Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, emerging as the presumptive nominee after Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April. Platner, a Marine and Army veteran and oyster farmer, has dominated polling and fundraising while securing endorsements from national progressive figures. Mills’ exit followed his consistent leads in surveys of Democratic voters and superior grassroots organization. With the June 9 primary approaching, remaining challengers including David Costello trail far behind. Trader consensus reflected in current odds accounts for this decisive consolidation, though an unforeseen late scandal or health event before voting could still alter the outcome in principle.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Graham Platner has consolidated overwhelming support in Maine’s Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, emerging as the presumptive nominee after Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April. Platner, a Marine and Army veteran and oyster farmer, has dominated polling and fundraising while securing endorsements from national progressive figures. Mills’ exit followed his consistent leads in surveys of Democratic voters and superior grassroots organization. With the June 9 primary approaching, remaining challengers including David Costello trail far behind. Trader consensus reflected in current odds accounts for this decisive consolidation, though an unforeseen late scandal or health event before voting could still alter the outcome in principle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
May 2 2026
Graham Platner surges to near-certain frontrunner status in Maine Democratic Senate primary
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
Market prices surged to nearly 99% for Graham Platner as he became the overwhelming favorite to win the Democratic primary, reflecting broad voter support and the collapse of other candidates' chances, including Janet Mills who dropped to near zero.
Apr 17 2026
Maine legislature passes data center moratorium bill amid community backlash
Janet Mills plunges to 9%15%
Maine lawmakers approved a yearlong moratorium on large data centers, reflecting growing political opposition to tech projects due to concerns about energy use and community impact. Governor Janet Mills, running for Senate, faced this contentious issue, which may have influenced voter perceptions and the primary race.
Feb 27 2026
Maine governor challenges federal immigration enforcement amid rising community fear
Janet Mills drops to 22%12%
Governor Janet Mills publicly demanded warrants and transparency from federal immigration officials amid widespread fear in immigrant communities due to ICE operations. This stance likely affected her support in the Democratic primary, as voters reacted to the immigration enforcement climate.
Jan 23 2026
Platner wins endorsement from Senator Bernie Sanders
Graham Platner surges to 99%33%
Senator Sanders publicly endorsed Platner, cementing his anti‑establishment credentials and driving his price close to certainty.
Jan 15 2026
Department of Homeland Security launches immigration enforcement operation in Maine
Janet Mills dips to 33%3%
The DHS initiated 'Operation Catch of the Day' targeting criminal illegal migrants in Maine, leading to increased immigration enforcement activity. Governor Janet Mills publicly criticized the operation, highlighting tensions that may have influenced voter sentiment and the Senate primary dynamics.
Dec 30 2025
Maine Governor Mills declines to sign data‑center moratorium
Graham Platner surges to 92%34%
Mills’ decision not to sign the moratorium signaled a split with the legislature, further isolating her and boosting Platner’s momentum.
Dec 18 2025
Maine Democratic Party removes Mills from primary ballot
Janet Mills plunges to 0%36%
Following her withdrawal, the state party officially struck Mills’ name from the ballot, effectively ending her campaign and solidifying Platner’s lead.
Dec 7 2025
Maine Democratic Party releases fundraising report showing Platner outpacing Mills
Graham Platner surges to 78%17%
A state‑party filing revealed Platner had raised significantly more money than Mills, confirming his growing viability and pushing his market price higher.
Nov 25 2025
Janet Mills announces she will not seek re‑election as governor
Janet Mills plunges to 9%21%
Mills confirmed she would not run for a third term as governor, removing any fallback option and further eroding her political base in the Senate race.
Nov 14 2025
Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Senate race, citing fundraising challenges
Graham Platner jumps to 64%5%
Janet Mills, the Democratic governor of Maine and party establishment favorite, announced her withdrawal from the U.S. Senate race after failing to generate sufficient fundraising and enthusiasm to compete against Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and political newcomer. This marked a major upset and shifted market confidence heavily towards Platner.
Nov 13 2025
Schumer’s recruitment of Platner criticized by moderate Democrats
Graham Platner surges to 72%27%
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer’s backing of Platner drew backlash from moderate Democrats, reinforcing the narrative of an anti‑establishment wave and further rallying grassroots support for Platner.
Oct 22 2025
Maine Legislature passes data‑center moratorium bill
Graham Platner jumps to 64%11%
The Democratic‑controlled Legislature approved a year‑long freeze on large data‑center projects, sending the bill to Gov. Mills. The controversy over tech development highlighted local economic concerns and boosted Platner’s outsider appeal.
Oct 14 2025
Jared Golden ends Senate campaign
Jared Golden drops to 0%11%
Golden withdrew from the race, causing his price to fall to zero.
Oct 12 2025
Troy Jackson exits Maine Senate primary
Troy Jackson dips to 0%3%
Jackson announced his withdrawal, pushing his market price to zero.
Oct 10 2025
Jordan Wood suspends Senate campaign
Jordan Wood plunges to 0%19%
Wood withdrew, eliminating his share of the race and driving his price to zero.
Oct 8 2025
Chellie Pingree ends Senate bid
Chellie Pingree dips to 0%3%
Pingree formally ended her campaign, sending her price to zero.
Oct 5 2025
Dan Kleban drops out of Senate primary
Dan Kleban plunges to 0%15%
Kleban announced he would not continue his campaign, causing his market price to collapse to zero.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Democratic Senate primary, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner jumps to 59%14%
Mills announced she could not raise sufficient funds and withdrew, effectively clearing the field for Platner and causing his support to surge as voters coalesced around the anti‑establishment candidate.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills abandons Senate campaign, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner surges to 60%18%
Maine’s two‑term Democratic governor announced she could not raise enough funds and withdrew, throwing her support behind oyster farmer Graham Platner. The move eliminated the establishment favorite and sent Platner’s market price sharply upward.
Sep 20 2025
Early poll shows Platner leading primary field
Graham Platner jumps to 42%8%
A regional poll released by a local news outlet placed Platner ahead of Mills and other candidates, prompting early price gains for Platner and declines for the rest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Graham Platner has consolidated overwhelming support in Maine’s Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, emerging as the presumptive nominee after Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April. Platner, a Marine and Army veteran and oyster farmer, has dominated polling and fundraising while securing endorsements from national progressive figures. Mills’ exit followed his consistent leads in surveys of Democratic voters and superior grassroots organization. With the June 9 primary approaching, remaining challengers including David Costello trail far behind. Trader consensus reflected in current odds accounts for this decisive consolidation, though an unforeseen late scandal or health event before voting could still alter the outcome in principle.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Graham Platner has consolidated overwhelming support in Maine’s Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, emerging as the presumptive nominee after Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April. Platner, a Marine and Army veteran and oyster farmer, has dominated polling and fundraising while securing endorsements from national progressive figures. Mills’ exit followed his consistent leads in surveys of Democratic voters and superior grassroots organization. With the June 9 primary approaching, remaining challengers including David Costello trail far behind. Trader consensus reflected in current odds accounts for this decisive consolidation, though an unforeseen late scandal or health event before voting could still alter the outcome in principle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
May 2 2026
Graham Platner surges to near-certain frontrunner status in Maine Democratic Senate primary
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
Market prices surged to nearly 99% for Graham Platner as he became the overwhelming favorite to win the Democratic primary, reflecting broad voter support and the collapse of other candidates' chances, including Janet Mills who dropped to near zero.
Apr 17 2026
Maine legislature passes data center moratorium bill amid community backlash
Janet Mills plunges to 9%15%
Maine lawmakers approved a yearlong moratorium on large data centers, reflecting growing political opposition to tech projects due to concerns about energy use and community impact. Governor Janet Mills, running for Senate, faced this contentious issue, which may have influenced voter perceptions and the primary race.
Feb 27 2026
Maine governor challenges federal immigration enforcement amid rising community fear
Janet Mills drops to 22%12%
Governor Janet Mills publicly demanded warrants and transparency from federal immigration officials amid widespread fear in immigrant communities due to ICE operations. This stance likely affected her support in the Democratic primary, as voters reacted to the immigration enforcement climate.
Jan 23 2026
Platner wins endorsement from Senator Bernie Sanders
Graham Platner surges to 99%33%
Senator Sanders publicly endorsed Platner, cementing his anti‑establishment credentials and driving his price close to certainty.
Jan 15 2026
Department of Homeland Security launches immigration enforcement operation in Maine
Janet Mills dips to 33%3%
The DHS initiated 'Operation Catch of the Day' targeting criminal illegal migrants in Maine, leading to increased immigration enforcement activity. Governor Janet Mills publicly criticized the operation, highlighting tensions that may have influenced voter sentiment and the Senate primary dynamics.
Dec 30 2025
Maine Governor Mills declines to sign data‑center moratorium
Graham Platner surges to 92%34%
Mills’ decision not to sign the moratorium signaled a split with the legislature, further isolating her and boosting Platner’s momentum.
Dec 18 2025
Maine Democratic Party removes Mills from primary ballot
Janet Mills plunges to 0%36%
Following her withdrawal, the state party officially struck Mills’ name from the ballot, effectively ending her campaign and solidifying Platner’s lead.
Dec 7 2025
Maine Democratic Party releases fundraising report showing Platner outpacing Mills
Graham Platner surges to 78%17%
A state‑party filing revealed Platner had raised significantly more money than Mills, confirming his growing viability and pushing his market price higher.
Nov 25 2025
Janet Mills announces she will not seek re‑election as governor
Janet Mills plunges to 9%21%
Mills confirmed she would not run for a third term as governor, removing any fallback option and further eroding her political base in the Senate race.
Nov 14 2025
Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Senate race, citing fundraising challenges
Graham Platner jumps to 64%5%
Janet Mills, the Democratic governor of Maine and party establishment favorite, announced her withdrawal from the U.S. Senate race after failing to generate sufficient fundraising and enthusiasm to compete against Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and political newcomer. This marked a major upset and shifted market confidence heavily towards Platner.
Nov 13 2025
Schumer’s recruitment of Platner criticized by moderate Democrats
Graham Platner surges to 72%27%
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer’s backing of Platner drew backlash from moderate Democrats, reinforcing the narrative of an anti‑establishment wave and further rallying grassroots support for Platner.
Oct 22 2025
Maine Legislature passes data‑center moratorium bill
Graham Platner jumps to 64%11%
The Democratic‑controlled Legislature approved a year‑long freeze on large data‑center projects, sending the bill to Gov. Mills. The controversy over tech development highlighted local economic concerns and boosted Platner’s outsider appeal.
Oct 14 2025
Jared Golden ends Senate campaign
Jared Golden drops to 0%11%
Golden withdrew from the race, causing his price to fall to zero.
Oct 12 2025
Troy Jackson exits Maine Senate primary
Troy Jackson dips to 0%3%
Jackson announced his withdrawal, pushing his market price to zero.
Oct 10 2025
Jordan Wood suspends Senate campaign
Jordan Wood plunges to 0%19%
Wood withdrew, eliminating his share of the race and driving his price to zero.
Oct 8 2025
Chellie Pingree ends Senate bid
Chellie Pingree dips to 0%3%
Pingree formally ended her campaign, sending her price to zero.
Oct 5 2025
Dan Kleban drops out of Senate primary
Dan Kleban plunges to 0%15%
Kleban announced he would not continue his campaign, causing his market price to collapse to zero.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Democratic Senate primary, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner jumps to 59%14%
Mills announced she could not raise sufficient funds and withdrew, effectively clearing the field for Platner and causing his support to surge as voters coalesced around the anti‑establishment candidate.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills abandons Senate campaign, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner surges to 60%18%
Maine’s two‑term Democratic governor announced she could not raise enough funds and withdrew, throwing her support behind oyster farmer Graham Platner. The move eliminated the establishment favorite and sent Platner’s market price sharply upward.
Sep 20 2025
Early poll shows Platner leading primary field
Graham Platner jumps to 42%8%
A regional poll released by a local news outlet placed Platner ahead of Mills and other candidates, prompting early price gains for Platner and declines for the rest.
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