Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 4, 2026, defeating Rep. Haley Stevens by roughly 14,900 votes out of more than 1.5 million cast—a margin under 1 percentage point. Late polling showed the progressive former Wayne County health director holding a modest lead after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew in July, but the contest remained tight due to heavy outside spending favoring the moderate Stevens and sharp intraparty divides over ideology, fundraising sources, and policy priorities. With nearly all ballots counted and the Associated Press projection confirming the outcome, trader consensus reflects the verified narrow result rather than pre-election forecasts. A recount, late-absentee surge, or official certification dispute could theoretically alter the precise margin, though current vote totals leave little room for reversal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed <5% 99.4%
El-Sayed 5–10% <1%
El-Sayed 25%+ <1%
El-Sayed 20–25% <1%
$212,896 ปริมาณ
$212,896 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
El-Sayed 25%+
<1%
El-Sayed 20–25%
<1%
El-Sayed 15–20%
<1%
El-Sayed 10–15%
<1%
El-Sayed 5–10%
<1%
El-Sayed <5%
99%
Stevens <5%
<1%
Stevens 5–10%
<1%
Stevens 10–15%
<1%
Stevens 15%+
<1%
El-Sayed <5% 99.4%
El-Sayed 5–10% <1%
El-Sayed 25%+ <1%
El-Sayed 20–25% <1%
$212,896 ปริมาณ
$212,896 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
El-Sayed 25%+
$13,319 ปริมาณ
<1%
El-Sayed 20–25%
$10,054 ปริมาณ
<1%
El-Sayed 15–20%
$24,923 ปริมาณ
<1%
El-Sayed 10–15%
$51,744 ปริมาณ
<1%
El-Sayed 5–10%
$60,603 ปริมาณ
<1%
El-Sayed <5%
$21,178 ปริมาณ
99%
Stevens <5%
$19,391 ปริมาณ
<1%
Stevens 5–10%
$6,731 ปริมาณ
<1%
Stevens 10–15%
$3,977 ปริมาณ
<1%
Stevens 15%+
$976 ปริมาณ
<1%
Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 4, 2026, defeating Rep. Haley Stevens by roughly 14,900 votes out of more than 1.5 million cast—a margin under 1 percentage point. Late polling showed the progressive former Wayne County health director holding a modest lead after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew in July, but the contest remained tight due to heavy outside spending favoring the moderate Stevens and sharp intraparty divides over ideology, fundraising sources, and policy priorities. With nearly all ballots counted and the Associated Press projection confirming the outcome, trader consensus reflects the verified narrow result rather than pre-election forecasts. A recount, late-absentee surge, or official certification dispute could theoretically alter the precise margin, though current vote totals leave little room for reversal.
Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$212,896วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 4, 2026, defeating Rep. Haley Stevens by roughly 14,900 votes out of more than 1.5 million cast—a margin under 1 percentage point. Late polling showed the progressive former Wayne County health director holding a modest lead after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew in July, but the contest remained tight due to heavy outside spending favoring the moderate Stevens and sharp intraparty divides over ideology, fundraising sources, and policy priorities. With nearly all ballots counted and the Associated Press projection confirming the outcome, trader consensus reflects the verified narrow result rather than pre-election forecasts. A recount, late-absentee surge, or official certification dispute could theoretically alter the precise margin, though current vote totals leave little room for reversal.
Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$212,896วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat on August 4, 2026, defeating Rep. Haley Stevens by roughly 14,900 votes out of more than 1.5 million cast—a margin under 1 percentage point. Late polling showed the progressive former Wayne County health director holding a modest lead after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew in July, but the contest remained tight due to heavy outside spending favoring the moderate Stevens and sharp intraparty divides over ideology, fundraising sources, and policy priorities. With nearly all ballots counted and the Associated Press projection confirming the outcome, trader consensus reflects the verified narrow result rather than pre-election forecasts. A recount, late-absentee surge, or official certification dispute could theoretically alter the precise margin, though current vote totals leave little room for reversal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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