Allied governments continue to prioritize weapons deliveries, training missions, and financial support for Ukraine rather than direct combat deployments, reflecting longstanding concerns over escalation risks with Russia and the absence of a formal peace framework. Recent statements from UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron have signaled readiness to contribute troops for post-conflict security guarantees, with a letter of intent signed in January 2026 for a multinational force to deploy after hostilities end. NATO has expanded multinational battlegroups and air policing along its eastern flank but maintains no combat presence inside Ukraine. Ongoing U.S.-Russia talks and European efforts to accelerate air-defense aid further shape trader views that any combat role remains contingent on a negotiated settlement unlikely to produce boots-on-the-ground fighting before year-end.
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